Not entirely true.
Kansas and Maine award their electoral college votes by congressional district.
The rest are winner takes all.
Also, the âElectorsâ are not always bound by law to vote for the candidate who wins their state. Itâs rare that they vote against the wishes of the electorate, but it has happened.
Clintonâs unfavorable ratings are now the same as Trump, an incredible accomplishment considering the groups of people Trump has alienated. The âpay to playâ revelations regarding the Clinton Foundation and the State Department are doing a lot of damage, the Clintons think itâs still 1985 in Arkansas when they could do what they liked and Bill could make it all go away with a goofy laugh. That realistically ended with the semen on Monicaâs dress, but Hillary still thinks she can deny and lie her way to the White House, just as Bill did.
Given how the gap has narrowed recently, the debates will now be decisive. Itâs very hard to call how they will go, but one thing for sure is they will be nasty. Iâm not sure how well she will hold up when it gets really nasty, as Trump will bring it to a level that has never been seen in US politics.
If hillary got bumped off somehow, kaine would saunter into the white house,people hate hillary sheâs a cunt,trump is the only thing keeping her in this
Of course he has a chance. Both candidates are deeply unpopular, but Clintonâs unfavorability ratings are rising. Turnout is likely to be the lowest in history, which could result in some traditional state outcomes not being so predictable.
Clinton has been spending all her time fundraising (she is in SF again this weekend for a $10k a head event), so her strategy will be to bombard the airwaves with attack ads. The question is will that help her as she is already regarded as a pathological liar. Most of the people I know who are stanch Democrats are pretty disgusted by her, they wouldnât vote for Trump but they might not vote for her either.
As close as the polls are now, the debates will be decisive. They will also be the most watched in history, as there is genuine interest in which of them will have a mental breakdown on stage. Although Clinton is a good debater, she is not comfortable answering tough questions. She hasnât held a press conference for 273 days, an incredible statistic for someone running for president.