Average punters punts

Have the following going for a 269/1 accum

10/11 Broncos
2/11 Packers
23/20 Colts
20/37 Ravens
1/6 Texans
20/39 Lions
20/37 Bears
15/8 Vikings
5/9 Giants
1/2 Falcons
25/17 Eagles

Not looking too shabby so far. Eagles likely to blow it if it gets that far but I’d be in greening up territory then.

Decided to go for safe bets this week.

All to win, spurs, city and clansea. Nowhere with that one.
2nd one; 2.5 over on man u game and forest game with 2.5 under with Charlton and villa game. Boro blew that one out.
3rd one; all to score, man u, Liverpool and qpr games, came in. 42 for my fiver.
Last one, all to win; man u, Real, Barca and West Brom. Waiting on the baggies to bring it home tomorrow night. Around 3.5 on that one

Waiting on tampa bay at 11/10 and giants -3 3/4 for over 600 quid accum im shittin it here goin into the last the Giants always fuck me

And typically the rotten cunts concede a 51 yard td on 3rd down :angry:

Bucks in the bag.

Packers coming like a train, as such…

Ponder and the fucking Vikings :shakefist:

Fuck the giants shower of windy cunts,piss off Eli you piece of shit.

Thinking back to ideas floated here over the past few months I have to conclude that we are doing a poor job of spotting a trend and taking advantage of it … In public of course, there could well be a no of posters (or cunts) taking quiet advantage.

For example a key pillar of ttks success has been to note that the opposition has not properly assessed Ulster rugby. However potentially valuable trends on Belgium soccer, Donegal football, points total on gaa and similar have not been well noted or discussed. It is all very well to have a thread detailing your 10 team accas but that is of no use to fellow members. Any ideas on how to properly share these?

Never in doubt. Serious call and recommended with a 5pt max bet too. Well done and thanks. :clap: :clap: :clap:

That’s 2/2 for me in NFL bets in my lifetime. This lark is easy. :lol:

Money in the bank…bank.

I get what you are saying CCHA.
To begin with I’d like to keep an eye on Tampa’s odds next week. They probably won’t get much credit for this win. A 10pt win in Oakland is respectable.

At home to the flakey Chargers next week. Please make them underdogs. Please.

Obama to be next president still available at 1.27 ish on Betfair.

This is a done deal at this stage on all evidence available. All polls in the battleground states give it to Obama and its very hard to see how Romney can get to the 270 electoral college votes he needs.

Very good website here collates all the national and state polls and assigns probability accordingly. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com

It’s currently showing the Obama probability of victory at 86.3% and climbing. This equates to odds of 1.15 i.e. if you accept that analysis, Obama is currently over-priced. (Paddy Power paying out is another clue that the betting firms now how this is playing out!)

It’s not a big odds bet but money is money.

would you be advising to smash up the 2/5 available with PP?
romney was 10-3,
BTW this was at midnight jerusalem time last night so things may have shifted overnight

I still would be a little cautious mate, surely the margin for error based on the data set available must be in the region of 2 to say even 3 per cent?.. would you anticipate obama to be at least >3% ahead right now?

Obama down to 1/5 on Paddy Power now. I believe they’ve already paid out on some Obama bets.

As time runs out, there is little scope for a big event/game-changer which is the only way back into it for Romney imho.

National polls are showing only slight margins for Obama, within the margin of error. But in a range of the key battleground states he’s got slim margins. It’s hard to see him losing enough of these for Romney to get in. In particular, Ohio seems to be out of Romney’s reach which makes it very difficult for him to reach the 270 he needs to win.

?

How could they have paid out on “some” Obama bets? Are they giving certain customers preferential treatment?

I thought I heard on the radio this morning that they were paying out on “Obama - next president” bets. However, looking at their website it would appear they are still taking bets at 1/5 for this. I’m not sure how that works then, if I put money on do I automatically get the payout or is it just those who had money on in advance of the announcement?

:smiley: :lol:

What’s the max bet there?
Awfully generous of Powers to offer a guaranteed 20% return on my bets on this.

Anyone see any value in the betting for West Brom v Southampton tonight?

West Brom -1 @ 9/5
West Brom to win both halves @ 7/2
Under 1.5 goals @ 7/2

Opinions?

Southampton seem to have a leaky defence while West Brom have Lukaku and Long in form up front so the last one would seem a bad call, to me. (Assuming they are both fit)

They’ll pay out on bets placed before a certain date & time

what’s your opinion exactly?