@Thrawneen cheers bro.
Boyles have prices up.
[quote=“caoimhaoin, post: 833740, member: 273”]Hawthorn/Freo double. Nailed on.
Geelong h e this curse bull shit but they are not in good form and lost Chapman who they needed.
Sydney are busted up, Freo should pull away after half time.
Only 7 teams out of 38 attempts have list this game after having the week off and it’s actually getting rarer and rarer. 4 of those were a long way back in a slightly different system.
It’s about 1.92, not great for a double, but as sure as sure can be.[/quote]
have got on this - 1.8 on betfair
thanks for that
Are we still good for this, @caoimhaoin ? No injuries or, seeing as it’s the AFL, drug and/or rape convictions in the intervening period between you tipping this and now?
No Freo and Hawthorn are full decks. Other two are not. Double has shortened.
Geelong could be a joker here
[quote=“caoimhaoin, post: 833740, member: 273”]Hawthorn/Freo double. Nailed on.
Geelong h e this curse bull shit but they are not in good form and lost Chapman who they needed.
Sydney are busted up, Freo should pull away after half time.
Only 7 teams out of 38 attempts have list this game after having the week off and it’s actually getting rarer and rarer. 4 of those were a long way back in a slightly different system.
It’s about 1.92, not great for a double, but as sure as sure can be.[/quote]
I wouldn’t be so sure about it being nailed on Kev. Hawthorn should win, but the Freo / Swans game could go right down to the death.
Swans at $4.05 are terrific value.
i googled the hawthorne - geelong game there and came across an article that had an online poll of >5k people, it was 52% hawthorne vs 48% for geelong… just saying for lads who may be thinking of going in on 4 figures on this like me and @dancarter
[quote=“Fitzy, post: 834507, member: 236”]I wouldn’t be so sure about it being nailed on Kev. Hawthorn should win, but the Freo / Swans game could go right down to the death.
Swans at $4.05 are terrific value.[/quote]
People are openly admitting to be very hesitant in picking against Sydney and Geelong such is their pedigree and ability to upset in the past. But the facts are Sydney are down 5 starters and Geelong are nowhere near their best form.
History as I explained back along is really against the sides who play 3 weeks in a row, that’s a large part of my confidence.
The other thing to be aware of is online polls about games are an absolutely retarded way of looking at a game. Most of the participants are kids. Geelong have a massive and passionate following who I daresay would pick them to win if they sent out their Colts team. This Kennets curse thing is also having a bizarre effect on people.
A better poll, from some more clued in people , is one where of 16 sports presenters on Fox Footy 16 of them went for Freo & The Hawks.
But I couldn’t give a fuck, I threw in my 500. Ye can go with mickee if ye want. The troubled soul is trying mad to get back at me for my jibes about Cobh.
[quote=“caoimhaoin, post: 834523, member: 273”]People are openly admitting to be very hesitant in picking against Sydney and Geelong such is their pedigree and ability to upset in the past. But the facts are Sydney are down 5 starters and Geelong are nowhere near their best form.
History as I explained back along is really against the sides who play 3 weeks in a row, that’s a large part of my confidence.
The other thing to be aware of is online polls about games are an absolutely retarded way of looking at a game. Most of the participants are kids. Geelong have a massive and passionate following who I daresay would pick them to win if they sent out their Colts team. This Kennets curse thing is also having a bizarre effect on people.
A better poll, from some more clued in people , is one where of 16 sports presenters on Fox Footy 16 of them went for Freo & The Hawks.
But I couldn’t give a fuck, I threw in my 500. Ye can go with mickee if ye want. The troubled soul is trying mad to get back at me for my jibes about Cobh.[/quote]
In fairness Kev, I don’t think I’ll be making AFL decisions based on the thoughts of a lad living in Israel looking at fan forum online polls.
[quote=“Fitzy, post: 834507, member: 236”]I wouldn’t be so sure about it being nailed on Kev. Hawthorn should win, but the Freo / Swans game could go right down to the death.
Swans at $4.05 are terrific value.[/quote]
No they are not, it’s poor value. Theyshould be about 6.5
A analogy would be who would you think would win Sunday if Dublin were missing Paul Flynn, Brenard Brogan, McCarthy, Cooper & say Rock, as well as Ciaran Killkenny being slightly injured. That’s about the equivalent of what Sydney are down.
The thread isn’t for your benefit fitzy. And I was more on about him making calls based on online polls, an the idiocy of it. Even to comment is pretty stupid, to help it make a bet is pretty dumb.
What I’ve always liked about you Kev is your ability to argue with people, even when they agree with you.
I jumped in last night, just over 1.8 on pp
odds on accumulators:eek:
could this be the tipping point in Kevs Tipping?
What time do games throw in?
[quote=“count of monte cristo, post: 834545, member: 348”]could this be the tipping point in Kevs Tipping?
What time do games throw in?[/quote]
10:50am Irish time today I believe
It is ok, I only put the Christmas money on it, I kept the holiday money back.
He has earned the right to be trusted on AFL betting matters until he is wrong.
Kev, where did i make a prediction on the game?
i know the same about Aussie rules as you do about making wedding invitations, and that’s not a lot, all im doing is reading up on the event based on information at my disposal, I know Oz is still in a boom and people are buying gaffs and gambling the pay check at will but in our post Celtic tiger era i was just advising caution ahead of fellas gambling the Santa money on this shortie…
best of luck with the punt, i hope it comes in