The idea that when a generational team from a county declines that that county will continue to be a major force is the GAA’s equivalent of how property vested interests predicted a “soft landing” circa 2007.
I see Limerick people doing this now. “We’ll never go back to how we were”. “We won’t be as dominant in the future but we’ll always be contenders.” Stuff like that.
The same stuff that was said about Dublin. It was widely maintained that Dublin would win at least five football All-Irelands per decade going forward, even if they weren’t as dominant.
Pretty much always things don’t work out like that.
Generally what happens is, one or two key players retire, and the cracks start showing. Maybe an All-Ireland or two is wrung out of the dominant generation late in their life span. Then a captain departs, or a manager departs, or a county board CEO departs. Then a rake of players depart, and the whole thing falls apart.
Even if you’re Kerry, you have a problem. Kerry went to shit after 1986. If Dublin don’t wring a final All-Ireland out of the remnants of the golden generation this year, they’re unlikely to win one for the next five or six years at least, or more.
Cody did an incredible job with Kilkenny to seamlessly weave a pattern with two golden generations from 2000 right through to 2015, but then that collapsed, and Kilkenny may not win another All-Ireland for a good while yet.
Go through other big counties. Mickey Harte did an excellent job to keep Tyrone very competitive post-2008 but he could not win another All-Ireland, but his successors did. That’s about the best you can hope for in a county that doesn’t have any special advantage, ie. any county outside the big two in football and the big three in hurling.
Meath collapsed in football post-2001.
Cork collapsed after their All-Ireland football-winning team of 2010.
Galway football went into a near 20 year slumber after 2001 and only now has it properly re-emerged as a force.
Armagh collapsed after their All-Ireland team. So did Derry. And most of all Down.
In hurling, Wexford collapsed after 1996.
In 1995, Anthony Daly said “we know that Offaly hurling is so strong now that it’ll be back”. Once those players departed, Offaly hurling was not back.
Clare went back into the doldrums after their 1990s team, re-emerged briefly as All-Ireland contenders but now look like falling back into the doldrums soon as the remnants of the 2013 team fade away.
Even Cork and Tipp have had long periods without winning All-Irelands in hurling.
Mayo keep coming because they still haven’t won one.
Limerick very likely will go back to how they were pre-2018 after this team has gone.