Big Duncan Smith did very/surprisingly well from Lorraine Clifford-Lee’s transfers there.
He could hold off Dean Mulligan now?
James Reilly thought Duncan would make it
Lots of bathwater there. Not too many babies
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The United Leftists Alliance would be on 67 then…
I dont see two FF in Leitrim/Sligo (for Boxty)
Harkin, SF & FG will only leave one seat. Harkin will pick up transfers from the next 3 eliminations to hold them off
This is my projection for Fianna Fail:
Carlow KK - 2
Cavan Monaghan 2
Clare 1
Cork East 1
Cork NC 1
Cork SC 2
Cork NW 2
Cork SW 1
Donegal 1
Dublin Bay North 1
Dublin Fingal 1
Dublin North West 1
Dublin West 1
Dublin Central 0
Dublin Mid West 0
Dublin South West 1
Dublin Rathdown 0
Dublin South Central 0
Dun Laoighaire 1
Dublin Bay South 1
Galway East 1
Galway West 1
Kerry 1
Kildare North 1
Kildare South 1
Laois-Offaly 2
Limerick City 1
Limerick County 1
Louth 1
Longford-Westmeath 2
Mayo 1
Meath East 1
Meath West 0
Roscommon-Galway 0
Sligo Leitrim 1
Tipperary 1
Waterford 1
Wexford 1
Wicklow 1
39 seats
I have given them Wicklow, Louth and Dublin North West but they are at risk. That could be 36.
I have not given them Sligo-Leitrim and Donegal - they are still in the hunt but they look likely to lose.
I’m revising that to 36 actually, 25 at present and I think they will add the following.
1 Sligo Leitrim
1 Donegal
2 Cavan Monaghan
2 Laois Offaly
1 Kerry
1 Longford Westmeath
1 Dublin NW
1 Dublin SW
1 Dublin BN
Yes just looking at it there, I thought it a 5 seater. I’ll revise my table.
You look at that list and FG really are a party of cunts.
Arranging shady dinners with Broadband magnets and then forgetting about it didn’t help him. In Ireland these shady attempts to influence tenders processes are referred to as “growing into your ministry”, but hopefully those days are changing. He has been useless for Clare as has Dooley and Carey but on balance Joe was the best of the 3 of them and I’m glad he was the one of them 3 to get in.
Cowen elected.
Fixed
Updated FF guesstimates
Certs;
1 Donegal
1 Sligo Leitrim
2 Cavan/Monaghan
1 Kerry
1 Offaly
1 Dublin South West
1 Longford Westmeath
That’s 8 plus the 26 they have elected. That’s 34
Possibles
1 in Donegal
1 in Louth
1 Longford Westmeath
1 in Wicklow
1 Dublin Bay North
1 Dublin North West
1 Sligo Leitrim
A lot of the possibles looking dodgy, they need 4/7
No, that’s it.
Ged Nash also did well of FF transfers in Louth.
I would have thought that Tony Murphy IND would transfer well to Dean Mulligan IND though and Smith is less than 700 ahead. 5838 Murphy transfers to be distributed.
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Think they are done now at 37
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That’s Fiona O’Loughlin done in South Kildare.
Be great if FF end up woith 37 as well. SF won the popular vote so Meehawl wouldnt have a leg to stand on. Mary Lou Taoiseach - M McGrath FF bastard Tainiste - Green Minister for Envirnoment.
Dearey eliminated in Louth - Ged Nash stays 141 ahead of him. Nash should now be elected.
No surprises in Kerry 5th count. Norma Foley will eventually be the one to take the 5th seat for FF at the expense of outgoing idiot John Brassil.