I am liable to human error myself but I make it 20% probability for a given year and 0.8% probability it happens three years in a row (0.2 * 0.2 * 0.2).
I am liable to human error myself but I make it 20% probability for a given year and 0.8% probability it happens three years in a row (0.2 * 0.2 * 0.2).