The Weather Thread

Price update: 13/8 for a Dublin White Christmas. The Met Eireann lads must be lumping on.

+1.

Was down the beach today for lunch. Snow is overrated.

Why do you insist on commenting on irish topics? Why don’t you join some Aussie forum and talk about Cricket, Shane Warne getting it on with Liz Hurley and do us all a favour and mizzle please.

after a couple of shite posts about some darts thrower, jimmy gets his first hit in on TFK.

Nothing wrong with darts mate, watch them over christmas and you’ll be hooked.

Who the fook are you?

Hi.

The snow is CLATG!

The below chart relates to the risk of disruptive levels of snowfall in Ireland between 00:01 Thursday to 08:00 Friday.

RED = 80% confidence
ORANGE = 60% confidence
YELLOW=40% confidence
BLUE= 20-30% confidence

http://www.irishweatheronline.com/2010/12/snow-risk-chart-for-ireland-thursday-am.html

Fucking orange are you trying to tell us something or what

How would one gauge “disruptive”?

Fucking weather defining itself by lines drawn on a map by British imperialists.

Forecast from the main weather man on boards.ie

Thursday, 16 December, 2010


ALERT for snow and blowing snow in northern, northwestern and some western counties today, with some local accumulations of 10-15 cms. ALERT for icy roads developing from north to south after a frontal passage (see forecasts for timing). ADVANCE ALERT for further snow, icy roads, bitterly cold temperatures Friday to Monday and possibly beyond.

Brief situational update – all guidance continues much as yesterday, with some range between models, requiring a blend and some intuition to come up with your forecast, but of more immediate interest, a small “polar low” may be forming upstream south of Iceland heading for Connacht and Donegal later, and this may necessitate a slight upgrade of snow potential – will be tracking this closely. Meanwhile, the arctic front is about to sweep through Ulster, and I’m expecting it to reach Dublin to Galway by 1230 to 1300h, then about Shannon to Waterford about 1500h, finally Cork about 1630h. Winds will veer to NW before this front arrives, as there is a pre-frontal trough. But temperatures only drop after the main front goes past, and based on reports from northern Scotland, they drop very quickly to below freezing. Thus the urgency of the alert for icy roads and sudden reductions in visibility due to heavy snow.

TODAY … Very windy and turning much colder from north to south. The milder air will remain in place for the morning in central counties and to mid-afternoon in the south. In all areas, a rapid change to much colder weather as winds shift from W 25-45 mph to NW 35-55 mph with higher gusts possible especially in Connacht. Morning rain showers will change to hail, sleet and snow in a squally fashion with some thunder and lightning. In the north morning sleet or hail may intensify to heavy snow at times giving 10-15 cms locally there, while further south amounts will average 1-3 cms and a few spots may escape snow but nowhere is likely to escape icy roads by evening. A few sunny breaks may develop behind the front in the south and east but passing flurries may suddenly reduce visibility even there. Finally, an interval of heavier snow may develop in the northwest towards evening.

Morning to mid-day highs of 8-10 C will contrast sharply with later temperatures falling below zero to about -3 C. At this stage, wind chills may reach -10 C.

TONIGHT … Windy and very cold with snow at times, heavier in north and west, further accumulations of 10-15 cms possible there, 2-5 cms south and east. Winds NW 30-50 mph, lows reaching -4 to -6 C except -2 to zero in west coastal locations. Wind chills -10 to -15 C. Very icy roads.

FRIDAY … Continuing windy and very cold with frequent squally showers of hail and snow, considerable accumulations possible but mostly in Ulster and Connacht, west Munster, parts of north, west Leinster where amounts will average 5-10 cms and reach 15 cms locally. Showers may mix with sleet near the outer Kerry coast. Highs for the day only -3 to -1 C in north (inland) and 2-4 C in southwest, 0-2 C in southeast and east. Some intervals of bright sun will also be hazardous because of glare off snow and ice at low sun angles. Winds WNW 20-40 mph with some higher gusts. Roads becoming very treacherous in many counties but with highly variable conditions too, travel with care if you can’t avoid travel.

WEEKEND … Bitterly cold to start with some clearing in the north late Friday night and lows generally -7 to -4 C but as low as -10 C in any northern valley locations under clear spots in the general overcast. Ice fog likely over central counties. Periods of snow may continue Friday night in some southern and eastern counties. Then on Saturday, snow likely to spread in or break out locally, heavier in the northeast at first, then becoming rather heavy in many areas, local accumulations of 5-15 cms both days, potential for near-blizzard or blizzard conditions with Dublin possibly near the higher snowfall zone that is likely to extend from about Meath to Laois and Tipps, but should emphasize that heavy snow could develop quite widely outside that zone too. Saturday night could clear in some northern and central counties with frigid temperatures possible (lows -12 C or lower in cold spots).

Sunday may also produce periods of snow in a northeast wind flow, and eventually, maximum snow accumulations could reach 20-30 cms. Some thunder-snow likely. Winds will increase at times to NE 15-25 mph blowing this snow around, in temperatures in the range of -2 to +1 C (could stay colder than that in parts of Ulster and inland Connacht).

MONDAY … The above snowstorm to blizzard conditions may continue or may ease slowly, but in any case, there will be a lot of snow on the ground and temperatures near -1 C with potentially strong E to NE winds at times.

TUESDAY to THURSDAY … Some snow could continue in the south, and flurries or freezing drizzle will keep roads icy in many areas, but this could be a somewhat drier period with breaks in the overcast and very cold temperatures at night as a result, lows may fall to -8 C or lower, highs will remain in the range of -2 to +2 C. It could become just slightly milder by Thursday, 2-4 C.

OUTLOOK … I tend to discount any major suggested warmings but there is a chance of milder weather around Christmas, however, I think there is an equal chance of a further period of snow with the mild air held back to the southwest.

For those with an interest in weather in the U.K. or northern France for their travel plans, it seems quite possible that the snow in Ireland will break out over large parts of the U.K. as well, and may extend at times into northern France. Parts of central England are likely to see the worst of the snow there, 20-40 cms potential. Eastern Scotland may see some snow, but central Scotland and northern England could see bitterly cold overnight lows during the period, as low as -20 C in some places, but generally -10 C or lower.

Weather here today was cloudy with light rain and a high near 6 C (Wed 15th).

I may update the snowfall table later, but will maintain it for now.

:lol: :lol:

Reports coming in now that we might miss the worst of this front and it is moving south towards France down through Britain

A light dusting of snow here earlier, quickly followed by a torrential shower of rain. Im not sure what to expect when I pull up the blinds in the morning.

A pane of glass?

No we’ve double glazing. I reckon i’ll be looking at a flood anyway.

About an inch or 2 of snow her in west Limerick in the last 2 hours.

not too bad around here but the roads arent great