Just go but tell them you went somewhere else instead. Obviously donât put any pics up on social media, etc.
Or go and self isolate for two weeks when you get home
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The Iranians are dancing while Tehran burns
Some of them have great moves in fairness. It would take Paddy 7 or 8 Jagerbombs in Coppers to shake a leg.
We have the least amount of rhythm of any race on the planet
Iâd say thereâs some fine looking women under them masks
Posting social media pictures of your head covered by some bizarre contraption while out in public is going to become the new version of lads posting pictures of themselves tidying up a dressing room after a match.
Two new Covid 19 cases in Northern Ireland
Where???
Wait til Monday, Iâm going to a match this weekend
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You bastard!
Have they released the seriousness of the 2 cases in Ireland? Have they the sniffles or are whatâs the craic.
I think this explains the high rate of infection in Iran.
107 deaths now in Italy. Doubled in 24 hours.
He almost makes his father likable
Sweden has fallen, I repeat, Sweden has fallen. Community transmission. The place is riddled
Sharp increase in cases in Sweden
Sixteen new cases of the coronavirus have been confirmed in Stockholm, according to local authorities, taking the total number of cases in Sweden to 52. Region Stockholm said:
Sixteen additional patients were found infected with Covid-19 ⌠The infected patients are being cared for in isolation to reduce the risk of further transmission.
The causes of four of the 31 confirmed cases in the Stockholm region remain under investigation, as â unlike the rest of the cases â no clear link to infection abroad or contact with people who had been infected abroad was found, the authority said.
Weâll walk the Eurovision this year. No other cunt will want to host it
Thinking exponentially about containing the coronavirus
One reason why we react far too slowly to threats like the Coronavirus is that thinking about processes that involve exponential growth just doesnât come naturally to us: we tend to extrapolate linearly instead. That is seriously hampering our reactions to this threat. If we did think exponentially, weâd be practicing serious containment, right now. I want to illustrate why with a simple graph.
There are roughly 100,000 serious Coronavirus cases around the world now, and without public health measures, the infections appear to double every six days. That rate will not be sustained as more people get infected, and many may have only mild symptoms. That said, if the base rate of doubling did continue, and if the serious cases were the only ones that existed (which theyâre not of course: there are many carriers who are asymptomatic right now), then the entire human population of the planet would be infected in three months.
What if we slow the doubling rate down a bit, to ten days, by better hygiene, not congregating in large crowds, etc? Then it would take five months for everyone to be infected.
We could do better than that though: by really limiting social interaction, really ramping up personal hygiene in public. If we slowed the doubling rate to once every month, it would take one and a half years to infect the whole planetâs population.
And if we did even better, perhaps with something approaching Chinaâs controls, and reduced the doubling rate to two months? Then it would be three years before the virus infected everybody.
This is why itâs necessary to impose strict limits on social interaction now, not later. The longer we leave it, the longer the doubling rate stays at 6 or so days. All it takes is a hundred such days, and itâs too late: everyone already has it.
So a sensible containment policy would ban large gatherings, where carriers (many of whom are non-symptomatic) can infect many others. Sporting events should stopâor rather events could still happen, but be watched by near-empty auditoriums, and broadcast. Schools and universities should shut downâor conduct classes online. Churches should hold services online as well. Since it seems to take about 15 minutes of sustained exposure within 1-2 metres to pass the disease on, actions that eliminate such gatherings now could slow down the diseaseâs momentum, and give us more time to develop vaccines, anti-virals, pre-symptomatic screening systems.
The trouble is, this reaction will be seen as too extreme, and resistedâuntil such time as the number of infections have hit such a level that everyone panics. So I worry that we wonât politically accept extreme confinement measures until weâve hit a terrifying number of serious cases and deathsâperhaps once 100,000 people have died.
Weâre currently at 3,000 deaths from 90,000 reported serious cases. How long will it take us to get to 100,000 deaths, if the doubling rate sticks at the current 6-day level? One month: by the beginning of April.
I donât think it will be that fast by the wayâchanging personal behaviour might increase the doubling rate a lot, to say, every two weeks. How long does that give us till we hit 100,000 deaths? About 70 daysâor early May.
Many other factors will come in to play, some good, some bad. Hygiene and isolation will both improveâbut this will challenge our financial system, as people stop earning an income and businesses go bankrupt. So we have to plan for that: as I suggested in my previous post, we need to stop the ordinary rules of capitalism, which are suited for episodic events, making this systemic crisis even worse. Some ideas include
- a âmodern Jubileeâ, similar to what Hong Kong has already done, where they have given every citizen HK$10,000, or roughly US$1250. Give everyone a direct cash injection into their bank accounts on a per capita basis. This will allow people to pay their rents and service their mortgages, even if theyâve been sacked, lost their âgig economyâ job, or had to shut their restaurant;
- Put a hold on bankruptcy proceedings, for businesses likely to be affected adversely by the crisis, and maybe give those firms a Central Bank money injection too, on a âshare of marketâ basis. Obviously, airlines, sporting venues, restaurants, personal service industries, are all going to be affected adversely.
- Toilet roll manufacturers, sanitation producers, etc., are going to do very wellâso maybe what we need there are price controls, combined with the same Central Bank money injection.
- Direct support for share prices by direct Central Bank purchases of shares, as Japanâs Central Bank has been doing for some time. This is to stop a stock market collapse triggering financial collapses, especially by banks.
- Modify bankruptcy rules for the interim for banks banks. Banks should be able to operate even if they end up in negative equity, to keep the payments system.
Prof Steve Keen