NYT giving him a 73% chance of an overall win at the moment.
This is done. Trump has it. I donāt see where a 2020 style fightback is coming from.
This is over
Are we calling it?!
https://twitter.com/EwanMacKenna/status/1854001807925670360?t=gf-0MmAayVmw400KykPGAQ&s=19
Soak it in Ewan, a big win for free speech proponents like us. The green/democrat/woke agenda in tatters.
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Still too early to call but significantly working class and people of colour are abandoning the democrats. Two of their presumed bases going forward up in smoke. They are now left with woke typesā¦interesting strategy cottonā¦
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I remember when you sang
That song about today
Now itās tomorrow and
Everything has changed
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Angela Alsobrooks, magnificent name.
Oh well, back to Idiocracy as a documentary. I think Iāll go to bed. When we wake up in the morning itāll be a very dark world we wake up to, weāre already there but itās gonna get waaaaayyyyy worse.
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Harrisās lead over Trump in the āUnder 30sā and āHispanicā categories is well down on Bidenās lead over Trump in the same demographics in 2020.
For example, Biden had 25 point lead over Trump in the āUnder 30sā demographic. Harrisās lead is only 8.
Latinos are probably gonna decide the election. They are decent common sense people who want safety and jobs. And not pointless shrieking over imaginary Nazis. Good for them gives them a foothold and power forever.
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He has it won, doesnāt he?
The come back starts here.
Tis over. Trump will probably will win all seven swing states.
But Iād like to have seen the US corporate media make more of a deal, or even any sort of a deal, about the fact the Russians phoned in bomb threats to at least 40 polling stations. Youād think that sort of stuff would be newsworthy but sure institutional America at every level has been like rabbits in headlights for years in the face of the threat.
Trying to win without your base isnāt a great strategy as it turns out.
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Artist impression of path remaining for Harris.
The Libertarian candidate got fuck all attention and votes this go around. If you go back and look at 2020, the margins of victory for Biden in a lot of the swing states was less than the vote share of the Libertarisn candidate then (Jorgensen). So maybe not so much a case of Harris underperforming Biden, but more of a case of not being a true two horse race last time around, among other things.
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https://twitter.com/nwarikoo/status/1854009088910274853?t=n7_m0tSHsCOMNEGyeWA6qg&s=19
Thereāll be a few blogs written after this. Did gaza do Harris? Or just ineptitude?
I went to hear Malcolm Gladwell talk two weeks ago and when asked he said trump was gonna win easily. Wish I trusted his intellect with my wallet.
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Heās now ahead in all seven swing states, itās like 2016.