Bank Holiday Betting Bonanza

Firstly a question: have paddy got some new thing going on about only taking bets on the handicap in one direction on the GAA?

Looking at the aertel pages at the moment they’re showing:

What does “Handicap applies 1 side” mean? And why aren’t they quoting the -3 on Mayo?

Had a quick look at the rugbyleague there. I seem to be backing favourites every week in this but the good weather (except last weekend) has seen some big scores in most games and that’s allowing teams to beat the handicaps the whole time. Plus there’s a definite change in momentum now with the big teams beginning to hit their strides as they push for playoff places.

Warrington did just enough a fortnight ago to beat the handicap against Huddersfield after letting them back into the game but the win was more convincing than the result. They’ve been in great form, other than the loss to Leeds a month or so ago. The win at Bradford last week wasn’t as impressive but it was still a decent win away from home in a secondary competition.

They’re off to Salford this week and will fancy their chances of covering the 12 point handicap. Salford have won their last 2 Superleague games - an 8 point win over the bottom side (Catalans) and before then a shock win over third placed St Helens. I think you can’t do anything other than dismiss that St Helens game as a flash in the pan. They’ve shown no real form at all this year and even then they managed to ship 34 points, it was just a rare abysmal defensive effort from St Helens.

The real form marker for this game is Murrayfield a month ago where Warrington hammered Salford 68-12. That was a massacre from start to finish in the Scottish sunshine and reflected a real gap in quality between the two teams. The Reds have conceded twice as many points as the Wolves, scored half as many points, have won less than half as many games, have lost more than twice as many etc.

12 points in the handicap isn’t a freebie but the Wolves can go 43 points worse off this weekend than the match in early May and still cover the handicap. I expect them to do that easily enough.

Ah magnificent tipping again. A 17 point win for the Wolves.

Got a tip for Coin of the Realm earlier, currently around a 4/1 shot in the 4.45 in Epsom…Think he is top weight but is expected to run a big race

all the money seems to be coming for him 3/1 now…

I must flick this on and see what all the fuss is about. He is 5/2 favourite and it’s 8/1 bar after that…

know nothing about the horse but the lad who told me wouldn’t be one for giving out tips but when he does they are normally on the money

I’ve a few bob on him @ 3’s.

Fortuni had that won a long way out

Oh dear…

I’m surprised you didn’t get the pm to lay off Coin of the Realm in running?? :o

Ireland to beat France in junior world in and around evens very good value.

Cumbrian Cabbie in the last in Newcastle - 12/1 shot.


First Dude to win the Belmont stakes tonight, around a 5/1 shot



Cycling fans:

Any thoughts on Contador to win the Dauphine at 11/10? Obvious concerns are his team and the fact he won’t be targetting this above the Tour around the corner obviously. But he is a class above the rest of the field and may feel he needs to win this to show his strenght before the big one, partiuclarly with concerns around how strong his team are.

Course looks decent for him too with a 49km timetrial thrown in there. Over l’Alpe d’Huez too in the 6th stage.

Read some quotes from Contador today that have put me off backing him for the moment. He isn’t going to be as active in mountains apparently…Menchov is 33/1 to win prologue today.Have a few euro on him each way. In good condition prior to recent illness.