Port Adelaide -6.5 @ 3.0
What time is this and what bookie is offering these odds? Actually why not go ahead and tell us what sport this is and all while you’re at it.
AFL prelim (1/4) final.
Freo are favs cos they finished higher and are playing at home. However they are down some extremely important players both in attack and defense arguably the best small forward in the game Ballylantyne is out and definitely the best centre back Johnson is out for season.
People here listen a lot to the shite on the tv and radio, like everywhere really, and a lot of the talk is about players slipping into the Freo “system”. Freo are very comparable to Donegal and similarly while the system is important if you took out Frank McGlynn and McHugh they wouldn’t beat Dublin.
The stats with Ballantyne in the team and also when scoring more than 3 goals are staggering. Basically against good opposition he plays they win or are very close, if he scores 3 goals or more they win. Freo are also tired looking.
On the other side Port are flying and have an incredibly fit running team and have also done well away from him and most importantly away against Sydney and Freo, who are high forward and midfield pressure teams. They gave one of the most impressive top level performances i ever saw in any sport last weekend in the first half against Richmond. They then took a complete rest in the last 1/4. Meanwhile Freo were being beaten up by Sydney.
I think Port only need to stay in the game up to and including the last 1/4. I think they’ll over run freo near the end.
I didn’t realise Ballantyne was out Kev, that’s huge alright and Freo got badly smacked by the Swans last week. Freo have a ridiculously good home record, but I think you’re right, Port should win this. Can’t stand either side though.
Why dislike Port? Very likeable approach to it from players and management I think.
I can understand not liking Freo from the outside, negative game, ignorant/arrogant coach, purple gear etc. but when close up you see they are a fantastic organization. They blow Eagles out of the water in terms of what they do in the community and just what they are like generally as an organization. They are also a real working mans club and compared generally to the eagles support base are alright sorts.
[QUOTE=“caoimhaoin, post: 1015430, member: 273”]Why dislike Port? Very likeable approach to it from players and management I think.
I can understand not liking Freo from the outside, negative game, ignorant/arrogant coach, purple gear etc. but when close up you see they are a fantastic organization. They blow Eagles out of the water in terms of what they do in the community and just what they are like generally as an organization. They are also a real working mans club and compared generally to the eagles support base are alright sorts.[/QUOTE]
An historical thing with Port, from when that wanker Mark Williams was their coach. Also can’t stand Ross Lyons.
For those in Ireland, Bet365 offer the alternative handicaps on this game.
Boyles go 10/11 Port Adelaide +10.5
William Hill go top price 6/4 on them to win the game. Powers and Boyles are 11/8.
Cheers @caoimhaoin - fingers crossed
[QUOTE=“thedancingbaby, post: 1015438, member: 48”]For those in Ireland, Bet365 offer the alternative handicaps on this game.
Boyles go 10/11 Port Adelaide +10.5
William Hill go top price 6/4 on them to win the game. Powers and Boyles are 11/8.
Cheers @caoimhaoin - fingers crossed[/QUOTE]
DB, this is some of the betting terminology I have a vague understanding of, but I’m probably wrong.
Can you explain to me what this means? The highlighted bit?
Went to the fucking TAB earlier to put a desultory $10 on the EPL multi favourites to win Round 4, paying $289 as I think it looks fairly achievable. Couldn’t find the bet on the screen, then spent 10 mins with the monster behind the counter trying to figure it out. Stupid bitch hadn’t a clue. Might be an online only bet, but I have to go to another outlet now and explain it to some other gimp who won’t have a clue what I’m talking about. This happened a couple of months ago when I was trying to put money on the Swans to win a game. Screen wasn’t working in the store and the moron behind the counter couldn’t help me. It was the start of the 12 game streak for the Swans and I think they were paying something like $3+. For fucks sake, I’m trying to give you money you fuckwits, help me.
Kev was pretty good at calling these last year. In. Ta, Kev. I notice the spread on PP has gone from +10.5 to +9.5 overnight.
[QUOTE=“Fitzy, post: 1015439, member: 236”]DB, this is some of the betting terminology I have a vague understanding of, but I’m probably wrong.
Can you explain to me what this means? The highlighted bit?[/QUOTE]
Port +10.5 means you add that 10.5 to their score. So your bet would come in if the full time score was Freo 100 Port 90 because you then add the 10.5 handicap onto Port’s score, Because you’re getting this extra 10.5 points the odds wouldn’t be as good as backing them straight up to win without any handicap.
You see all manner of these +/- bets. For example, you might think a strong soccer favourite will beat someone heavily so you could back them at -2 or something. That would mean they’d actually need to win by 3 clear goals for the bet to come in.
Unless you are @KIB man
Port +10 is 10/11 but -6.5 is 7/4. What’s the average margin of victory in AFL games at this time of year?
Port Adelaide Power are 2.5 on betfair to win or 4.9 -19.5 pts
[QUOTE=“Fitzy, post: 1015440, member: 236”]Went to the fucking TAB earlier to put a desultory $10 on the EPL multi favourites to win Round 4, paying $289 as I think it looks fairly achievable. Couldn’t find the bet on the screen, then spent 10 mins with the monster behind the counter trying to figure it out. Stupid bitch hadn’t a clue. Might be an online only bet, but I have to go to another outlet now and explain it to some other gimp who won’t have a clue what I’m talking about. This happened a couple of months ago when I was trying to put money on the Swans to win a game. Screen wasn’t working in the store and the moron behind the counter couldn’t help me. It was the start of the 12 game streak for the Swans and I think they were paying something like $3+. For fucks sake, I’m trying to give you money you fuckwits, help me.
[/QUOTE]
The amount of incompetent fools working in bookmakers in Ireland is staggering aswell Fitzy.
I share your frustration
I don’t think there is any massive trend in terms of score difference, most games are tiger tight with the very odd blowout. However I do think the average accumulative score decreases.
A goal is 6 points, to be honest I would equate it to a point in Gaelic and having researched it before the show/miss averages are somewhat similar. So -6.5 is two scores back. +10 is still only two scores of a start for them.
“Fucking monster, stupid bitch, gimp, moron, fuckwits”.
You are very disrespectful to people trying to earn a living.
We can’t all be kings of
hardware retailing.
I am in, we have had great fun watching these on Fridays in the previous years.
Spread is still 10.5 on Seanie Mac and the odds are better than pp,as well
When is this on tomorrow morning?