The action starts Friday night at Santa Anita. Can @His Holiness Da Dalai Lama line our pockets again?
The dirt track is like a conveyor belt, playing awful fast… in every two turn race in the last several days the winner has been at on stalking the lead from the first turn. It’s a graveyard for closers. Bodes well for the speed horses like Game on Dude, Royal Delta, Verrazano, Beholder.
Marathion - Argies to win two in a row with Ever Ride.
Juvy Turf - hate the 2yo races, but the Bobby’s Kitten looks like a potential monster.
Dirt Mile - Verrazano should romp home as he is by far the best 8-9f dirt horse out there. However if I wanted to try and beat him I might try Pants on Fire who seems to be really rounding into form recently. A wiseguy shot in this race could be Broadway Empire, who has been running off the beaten path in bumfuck places like Alberta and Oklahoma, but winning impressively.
Distaff - Beholder on home ground to beat RD and PoS.
F&M Turf - Looking like a toss up between Tizflirtatious and Marketing Mix, but like Laughing as a possible spoiler.
Sprint - haven’t a fucking notion.
Mile - Wise Dan will go off odds-on to repeat. Will take a super effort to beat him. One to watch in here is the import No Jet Lag. Couldn’t run to warm himself in England as recently as June. Was imported to SoCal and since then has become a new horse, including coming within 5 hundredths of a second of breaking the track record for a Mile on grass at SantaAnita (set by none other than Wise Dan last year). This horse likes his Lasix and likes those rock hard SoCal turf courses.
Turf - Point of Entry is the class of the field, anything bettter than 3/1 is great value. Most underrated middle distance horse in the world imo. Danger horse is Indy Point. Arg bred, won the Carlos Pellegrini (South American Prx de l’Arc) last year, very impressive in first start in states. His last place finish in the Arlington Million was an aberration, horse clipped heels early and ran sore. Romped home last time out. Loves the course, gets the distance.
Classic - You could make a case for lot of horses in this race. GoD, Fort Larned, Flat Out, Mucho Macho Man, Will Take Charge, Palice Malice are all capable of winning it on their day, but they are a very inconsistent bunch. GoD will go off fav, esp with Ron the Greek out, but anything less than 7/2 is not value imo. The elephant in the corner is Dec of War. Has the class to do it, should get the distance, but whether he will take to dirt and the handle the kickback a huge question mark. The jock might be a liability, I believe this is Joesph’s first race on dirt. Will need to be ridden prominently with the track playing like the superhighway that it is. Hard to know what to make of this race. If i was forced to pick, I’d go with one the 3yos, Palice Malice or Will Take Charge.
Not a big follower of the flat but I love watching the Breeders Cup.
Cheers for that @His Holiness Da Dalai Lama . Was on the O’Brien one that got caught on the line. Done a double with Vorda and Beholder in the last two.
Stuck a few quid on beholder in the last
Ah lovely, I knew you’d come up trumps:clap:
I hadn’t even seen HHHTDL post. She was a gift at 3s to be fair.
A few I’m gonna chance with tonight
7.05 Concave
9.43 Tap it Rich
10.22 Magician
11.01 Fast Bullet
11.40 Za Approval
12.35 Flat Out, Paynter
Johnny Velasquez had a heavy fall in the in Juvy Fillies after mount went down. He is in hospital and off his mounts.
So… Lescano gets the mount on Wise Dan in the Mile, and going on Lescano’s horrible ride in the FM Turf, where he held the front running Laughing in mid pack and killed her chances, then I think Wise Dan may be vulnerable in the Mile.
Gone for Dance to Bristol here at 6/1.
Gone with Chips all In…
Is Ryan Moore a cunt?
Fuck it, had Reneesgotzip there:mad:
All the BC winners in the world won’t make up for Mike Smith fucking up on Zenyatta in Churchill Downs
Did you see the fractions in that race? 21 and change for the 1/4 and 43 and change for the 1/2:eek:
They came down that hill fucking sorching fast.
Go back and watch all her other races, she dropped way out the back, 15-20 lengths and charged late to just get up, in every damn race. It was her style of running. The Classic was no different. She got beaten by a better horse in the day.
Point Of Entry has drifted out to 6/1 now @His Holiness Da Dalai Lama. Is this the British bookies over-reacting to patriotic money coming in for The Fugue?
The Coolmore horse will be hard bet in the next one.
Backed Tap it Rich at 6/1 in this one. They’re saying he’s 5/2 fav now:eek:
He’s 7/2 on the US tote at the moment