Cheltenham-Early thoughts

I think the long range forecaster looks very dry for cheltenham. There’s a chance if it came up good/soft ground That a lot of the English horses would be overpriced. Per example I’d expect shishkin and epatante to seriously shorten up on the first day against the likes of engermene and honeysuckle.

Willie and Gordon really dominate when the going is soft.

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Concertista has to be the first day banker.

Ruby was very negative on her today. Maybe he was defensive because people are saying she should be in the champion but he was saying her form is awful and she hasn’t beaten a good horse yet.

She will be odds on in mares.

Only thing is arkle/champion are competitive and appreciate it is beatable.

She could drift before the off.

:brendan: :ronnyroar:

Ruby rode in the mares hurdle 11 times. Won 8 of them. Fell going over the last in the lead twice and came 3rd in the other. An insane record.

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He was on the best horse by a country fucking mile most years. Fuck all insane about it.

School boy hours taken out of the Kim Muir.

I’ve just backed FitzHenry at 25s. He would have been a good second last year only for the stones of a ride Patrick Mullins gave him and he’s almost certainly going to be a pound or two lower than last years mark of 142. He went off 7/1 last year. Wouldn’t shock me derek o Connor is on board this year and that means he’ll be sub 5/1 on the day.

25s is nrnb. It’s a huge price imo.

He’s been given a mark of 139 actually for the aintree National. Similar profile to any second now who won it for mcmanus two years ago. Beaten in the paddy power and the and a half mile handicap at the Dublin racing festival. Has festival experience as well. This has all the hall marks of a Derek o connor special.

These are remarkably low numbers. The Irish must not be coming!

Gordon hasn’t entered Andy dufresne or aramax for the handicaps.

Is Jury Duty eligible for the Foxhunters? I see him going in the Hunters Chase in Thurles on Thursday

CC @fenwaypark

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Basically I have the same opinion as that. He runs in Mille Chief colours. The latter was one of my favourite horses. I had a good bet on him to win the Triumph antepost but he picked up an injury about two weeks prior.

Good read here

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Very sharp that lad.

No Jamie Codd, Derek O Connor or Patrick Mullins as amateur riders are excluded. That is a bit of a dose.

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It’s probably a big enough blow for willie with Patrick not being able to ride.

I’d like to see the Kim muir and the four miler postponed till next year now.

Thats a big change for the handicaps.