FG potential to take 3 out of 4 seats in DunLaoghaire. Vote Management again.
That sounds like a tally thatâs heavily skewed towards boxes from the south of the country.
joan on 15 per cent
Itâd be great to see Creighton gone to a progressive (socially anyway) FGâer. Looking at the transfers from there - Mannix Flynn and the Social Democrats will be the first big batch of votes to transfer.
I havenât seen any tallies from Shatters constituency. Youâd have to imagine only one FG seat though.
Sheâs got to be happy with that. Whatâs Cuntinger on?
70% 0f Boxes Limerick County
Browne 7.0 SF
Collins 28.0 FF
Heffernan 8.0 SD
Neville 19.0 FG
OâBrien 14.0 IND
OâDonoghue 8.0 IND
OâDonovan 14.0 FG
Others 3.0
Roddy is in.
Sounds like FF blundered badly not running a 2nd candidate. Collins will have a big surplus. Presumably that will benefit Learned Counsel Farmer Maurice?
WTF LIES:rage:
O Brien. Ex fiana fail.
Where from though? They are both region specific candidates
Niall Collins put a block on them running a second candidate. Wants the area to himself and has no interest in a running mate.
Independents OâBrien and OâDonoghue are both from the Fianna FĂĄil gene pool.
Hard to call it. Boxes in the Newcastlewest area still to be opened and OâDonovan would expect to poll strongly there as itâs his local patch.
Neville doing a hell of a lot better than expected and we havenât even gotten to counting his stronghold yet.
Sinn Fein support up 50%⊠Fianna Fail + Fine Gael struggling to get 50% between themâŠyoung people in their droves voting for changeâŠ
Up your hole @the_man_himself, @TheUlteriorMotive and @hbv
As I predicted.
Looking like another beautiful day in fingal!
@tallback, howâs it looking in Dublin Bay South now?
Maybe Andrews will get another surge from more working class places like Kimmage but itâs looking precarious for him now.
Iâm shocked by how well Neville has done so far.
As of now Iâd say OâDonovan is the one likely to lose out but itâs hard to say definitively. To be fair to @anon59781749 he called Neville to get a seat when the likes of myself had OâDonovan down as a banker.
I know that. Emmett was subject of âThe Young Bloodsâ profile in Phoenix this week. Phoenix put Emmettâs loss to Kevin Sheahan at the local selection convention in 2013 not so much to Collins shafting Emmett but rather to Emmett not doing his homework and getting his support out. Emmettâs apparent flip flopping on a waste gasification plant at Gortadroma according to Phoenix could ultimately come against him. He does have the the key endorsement of Richie Bennis though!
I still think Andrews might have an outside chance - youâd think that Mannix would transfer to him. Overall though, SFâs inability to attract transfers (a nod to Gerry here) might kill his chances.
FG look quite likely to take two here now. Lucinda unlikely. Iâd say Eamonn Ryan might sneak one because Iâd sense heâs transfer friendly. After that, its a total toss-up. Itâs go for many many counts.