79 the gap.
Mythen picked up 445 to Kehoeâs 352 off Cartyâs transfers. Gap is 79 with Kehoe ahead. Small surpluses for the now elected Browne and Wallace and then its the final distribution of Malcolmâs 7,122 votes.
Hmmm. I though Mythen would bridge the gap fully from Carthyâs transfers. This is nail biting stuff.
Browne will have 490 surplus to distribute.
Malcolm Byrne will have 7122 to distribute.
Iâve no idea whether thatâs done simultaneously or separately.
DâArcy is just 10 ahead of Kehoe now.
Wallace is 127 short of the quota.
Apologies. Surplus will be distributed first. There wonât be too much turning on the surplus so its all down to Malcolmâs votes. Dâarcy will get in off those. Tough to call how theyâll split between Mythen and Kehoe. Thought Mythen would have done a lot better off Carthy.
Any Wallace surplus should benefit Mythen but itâll be modest enough numbers.
The ideal scenario for Mythen is if Wallace comes in just short of a quota after Browneâs surplus, but considerably exceeds it after Byrneâs transfers. That way, even if Mythen doesnât pass Kehoe from Byrneâs transfers, heâll have a second chance off Wallaceâs surplus at the end, in a similar way to what happened in Limerick where Quinlivanâs surplus was the last to be distributed.
I think heâll do it either way and be elected fourth.
I wonder has Matt Carthy any news?
+1.
Wexford is weird though.
You get folk voting 1, 2, 3 across party lines based on part of the county, whether theyâre a GAA man, a farmer etc.
Donât think itâs certain that Byrneâs transfers will go in significantly higher numbers to Mythen than FGx2.
Any surplus Wallace will have off Malcolm will be negligible in value. Ultimately it comes down to Malcolmâs transfers. They will break more towards Fine Gael but in turn they will skew more towards Dâarcy than Kehoe. Kehoe has kept his nose ahead of Mythen all the way through. Its terrific vote management from Fine Gael to be going all the way to the wire for a second seat with just 23.3% of the vote in Wexford. Fianna Fail got 26.7% but were never in the hunt for a second seat.
Local experts on South East radio are calling it for Kehoe to hold off Mythen for the last seat. Hinting at some controversy and a full recount tomorrow.
National trend? This election is only in the 26 counties. Purely regional. Yet you call Frampton an ââorange cuntââ.
Shannonside radio still going strong as Eugene Murphy (FF) beats Maura Hopkins (FG) for the last seat in Roscommon.
Deeply disappointing news in Dublin South West - Katherine Zappone has overhauled a deficit of 1,500 off another Independent Peter Fitzpatrick to take the last seat by 152 votes.
Mythen 93 behind DâArcy and 98 behind Kehoe after Browneâs surplus.
Fuck it.
Scissor me.
FG looked to have that one in the bag. Big turn up.
Fine Gaelâs director of elections in Wexford, Martin Lawlor is as wily as they come. Fine Gael have generally managed their vote quite well across the country. Its the amount of votes theyâve attracted thatâs been their problem.
Regardless of whether or not Mythen makes it, Sinn Fein have been badly hampered in this election by their Director of Elections.
Typical modesty from a giant of the internet.
Buckleyâs looking good in Cork East. Still nearly 1200 ahead of FG3 after FG2âs transfers distributed.