I think you might be giving them too much credit. It seems to be more a case of 2 experienced candidates polling close to previous levels and the new/inexperienced gender quota candidate being eliminated early on. Theyâd possibly have DâArcy and Kehoe already elected if they only ran the two of them.
Catherine Ardagh FF beats Brid Smith PBPA by 5 (five) votes in Dublin South Central.
Gender quotas dictated that they had to run three as did Fianna Fail. Fine Gael have managed their vote in Wexford better over the last 10-15 years. The Brownes have always had a tendency to get away from the rest of the Fianna Fail pack. The local elections in Enniscorthy in 2014 would be a case in point. Two seats off just 23.3% of the vote in Wexford will be a very good result for Fine Gael if Kehoe hangs on.
Is that concluded or is there still a Catherine Byrne surplus to be distributed?
Concluded. Ardagh won on Byrneâs final surplus obtained as a result of Eric Byrneâs transfers.
Recount will obviously follow, as it is in DSW where the margin is a much larger 155.
Cork East are set to go âuntil 7amâ.
Iâll pass, thanks.
Already 22 minutes past my bedtime.
SE Radio just about to broadcast the count where Howlinâs surplus is distributed.
This is going to go on a while, too long for me, and based on the figures on RTE about Browneâs surplus itâs not looking good.
They only did Howlinâs surplus after Browneâe even though he was elected before him. M Byrne eliminated now but the gap from Kehoe to Mythen has increased another notch. And only one vote between the two FG lads.
Still going in Cork East and Wexford.
Malcolm Byrneâs votes being redistributed at present.
Experts still think FGx2 will hold off Mythen.
Looks like SF will get the seat in East Cork.
Looks like Mythen wonât make it. Wallace surplus from Byrne will transfer at same ratio.
Wexford recounting at 10am on Monday at the request of Sinn Fein
Thereâll be a few recounts surely.
Allâs changed, changed utterlyâŚ
Iâll look at the figures tomorrow but the scenarios are that:
- The Sinn Fein vote dropped. @Nembo_Kid has said it didnât though and heâs probably right.
- If the SF vote has not dropped while the FF vote has increased it means the increase was due to the people of Donegal voting in order to tell the Govt to take a running jump as I said they would. They have, albeit not to the extent I mooted that they would. However itâs the anti-establishment vote that seems to have made the difference when you look at how long Shiels stayed in the race and, much more so, nut job Tim Jackson completely fucked up the SF strategy to the extent that theyâve gone from looking like getting three seats to holding on to their existing two for dear life.
Ff always got support there
He made us sweat for our money but he got there in the end. He was 3k ahead of OâBrien after the first count but limped over the line with just 700 votes to spare for a finish.
Dan Neville is some operator. He always manages to get the vote out. Tom polled far better than everyone expected.
There has been a Collins seat in every election in west Limerick since the foundation of the state. An unbelievable record. They might all have achieved practically nothing but a phenomenal stat all the same.
Phenomenal alright. Phenomenal how gormless the people of West Limerick are.
11 Likes
Canât disagree with you there. Niall is probably the most dislikeable of the whole Collins dynasty - and thatâs saying something - but he still romps home. Picks up votes in every corner of the constituency.
Gerry was Minister for Finance but another one who was all style over substance.
1 Like