General Election 2020 Hub

Kinvara too :statue_of_liberty:

No, your low intelligence.

WTF fuck.

Saw it earlier and thought it was a wind up😂

Should be a Sunday Times poll out shortly. I’m predicting significant downward trend for FG.

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I saw one comment that gave a poll which had Sinn Fein on 20%.

aldridge isnt a nice person

hthe stories from his time at tranmere are shocking

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Rumours that FG are on about the same (and FF way ahead). But we’ll see.

The week couldnt have gone much worse for them

I imagine it could. Broaden your mind.

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Jaysus!

ELECTION 2020

Fine Gael in crisis as Fianna Fail jumps to 12-point lead in polls

Stephen O’Brien, Political Editor

January 19 2020, 12:01am, The Sunday Times

Fine Gael has plummeted to its lowest ever rating in The Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes polling series, falling seven points in a month to 20%, while Fianna Fail is up five to 32% at the outset of the election.

The dramatic poll result, probably influenced by the row earlier this month over the planned commemoration of the Royal Irish Constabulary (RIC), suggests there was a 12-point gap between the two biggest parties just as the taoiseach asked President Michael D Higgins to dissolve the Dail early last week.

Paschal Donohoe, the finance minister, yesterday claimed Fine Gael knew it would be coming into the campaign as “underdogs”, because the last government that served three terms in office “blew up the economy” in its effort to secure that third term.

Donohoe insisted his party was prepared to fight an election coming from behind in the polls, and said it would engage with voters on homelessness, health and other difficult issues, and not focus exclusively on the success of the economy and the threat of Brexit.

Satisfaction with the government is down three points to just 30% and satisfaction with the taoiseach’s performance is also down three to 35%. Micheál Martin, Mary Lou McDonald and Brendan Howlin all enjoy a slight rise in their personal ratings.

While Fine Gael and Fianna Fail were neck and neck on 27% in The Sunday Times/B&A poll last month, the 12-point gap opened between the two parties after the RIC/Black and Tans controversy, while there was no statistically significant shift in support for any of the other parties.

Sinn Fein is down one to 19%, the Green Party is up one to 7%, and Labour is down two to 4%. The Independent Alliance is up one to 3%, Solidarity/People Before Profit is down one to 2%, the Social Democrats are unchanged on 1%, Renua is up one to 1%, and other independents are up one to 10%.

The poll was conducted in a series of face-to-face in-home interviews with 923 eligible Irish voters on January 2-14. The margin of error is 3.3%. The sample was largely complete before the taoiseach laid out his reasons for calling the election last Tuesday.

Speculation about a possible February election and the outcome of post-Christmas meetings between Varadkar and Martin was live during the polling window.

Donohoe, the Fine Gael director of organisation, said yesterday: “Across the length of our campaign, we will engage fully with, and campaign on, issues that really matter to our society and to our citizens — homelessness, housing, where we are with our health services.

“The allegation that has been made by our political opponents, that we are seeking to run a campaign purely on the economy, purely on Brexit, and not look to engage on the other areas, is not what I or the party are planning to do.”

The finance minister defended his decision to increase public spending by 7.3% last year and claimed it was driven by heavy investment in capital infrastructure — up 24% in 2019 — to offset a decade of under-investment in hospitals, schools, public transport, roads and broadband.

Donohoe said: “Many of the charges that were levied at me by political opponents said that I would increase the capital expenditure, and then I wouldn’t deliver a budget surplus. Well, I’ve increased capital expenditure and I’ve now done the surplus bit. And I have not used the higher economic growth forecasts for 2020 to change any of our budgetary plans.”

The B&A poll shows a particular surge of support for Fianna Fail in Munster, where the party is up 22 points to 49%. This could be influenced by the prospect of having a Cork taoiseach in Martin.

Fine Gael remained strong with voters aged 18-35, down just two points to 28%. If this finding were mirrored by Fine Gael’s own research, it might have influenced the taoiseach’s decision to choose a Saturday as polling day.

The Sunday Times asked Donohoe whether Fine Gael was planning to announce a significant increase in the number of help-to-buy home loans aimed at first-time buyers in 2020, up from the 5,000 target cited in a New Year’s Day video posted by the taoiseach. The finance minister said he and Varadkar were still working through “the whole landscape of the manifesto” and many final decisions had yet to be taken, but they would have to remain consistent with the existing budgetary framework.

I’m choosing to revel in the predicted demise of FG rather than getting angry about the surge for FF. That’s appalling for Leo.

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I’ll go the other way so. A surge to those backwoodsmen is beyond fucking grim.

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The 18-35s sticking with FG @glasagusban