Champ Martin does have the whiff of a General Richard Mulcahy about him. In the formation of a Fianna Fail led coalition government after this election, you’d imagine his role in the bankrupting of the country, ceding of sovereignty and calling in of the IMF will be very problematic.
The local election %s turned out considerably lower for SF. Hard to know exactly why. Assume some was related to weaker local candidates v national profile. Some was probably because SF poll lower in reality than the opinion polls (probably turnout related even though the poll is adjusted for likelihood of turnout). And then there is a question over whether B&A are not sampling correctly and are overstating SF as a result.
The actual local election results were
FF 27
FG 25
SF 9
GP 6
Lab 6
Obviously none of that helps Leo much but it probably means SF are possibly overstated at 20.