What does assimilation mean there? It doesn’t sound like a positive thing. Wasn’t that the political ideology of The Borg in star trek?
If anything that survey just highlights the similar politics of the four main parties.
1 Like
1 Like
I’m not a handwriting expert but they look they were written by 2 different people.
Freaks pretending to be seven year old girls. The world is fucked.
6 Likes
Ah, young Bartholomew…
Behaviour and Attitudes have released the full data from the opinion poll at the weekend.
Demographic breakdown of party support:
- FG stronger with younger and really struggling with 35 - 54 year olds
- FF heavily reliant on the 55+ who seem to have come back to them in droves
- FF also doing better across the social classes. FG drop off quicker after ABC1
- SF strong among the younger votes as you’d expect and also spread well across the social classes
- Greens are extremely weak in Munster. Not as strong an urban/rural split as you might expect. That’s probably not great in seat terms if their vote isn’t concentrated on the key constituencies for them. And not as buoyant in under 35s as you might expect.
- Labour have no young support. (1% under 35)
This other table is useful in seeing where votes are migrating to and from.
- 84% of FG’s support comes from people who voted FG last time. That’s as high as Labour and suggests they’re not attracting new voters. They got a tiny bit of an inflow from FF and a bigger one from people who didn’t vote last time out. You’d have to wonder how likely those transfers are to happen.
- FF have taken a bigger slice from FG and have a larger share of Independents and Don’t Knows from last time. So although the FF lead looks like it could be overstated, this suggests they are getting more people switching to them than you might expect (especially from FG).
- Labour have a similar problem to FG - reliant on existing Labour voters.
- Greens have a positive predicted swing from FG and Independents.
- SF steadily taking votes from across the board.
- FG looking at that table will think they’re losing voters to SF and the Greens. Can’t see them doing much about the former so I expect a focus on the environment from FG in the next week.
4 Likes
Must be a TFK poster running that Twitter account. Has to be
Do they ring people or how do they conduct them?
You’ve doctored that to exclude SF…SF and SD are almost identical so should have landed close together
Call door to door and interview face to face.
Do we have an election betting thread? We have a tip
Some sort of Green Republican slightly-Socialist Party would be right up my street. But Sinn Fein, the Greens and the Soc Dems all leave me feeling very uninspired.
FF are a party of lightweights, standing behind Mehole Martin who’s greatest achievement, the smoking ban, was about 20 years ago and since then has done sweet fuck all. FG are a load of smug cunts who I couldn’t vote for. The Labour party don’t know what they stand for anymore, or at least they’ve made no impression on me with anything they’ve stood for in the last ten years.
It’s all terribly depressing. Not a bit of charisma to be seen.
My vote is very much up for grabs.
3 Likes
Do you like Granagh and 10/3 odds?
A vote against the big two is not necessarily nailing your colours to the rest…this is where most people fall down, they think their vote will be more effective if it goes to FFG even tho they don’t agree with them…
You couldn’t be up to those HEaly Raes
Is it not some FG weirdo tweeting them?
Disagree- you couldn’t copy that Question Mark
He’d do well to shift the three incumbents I think. @Copper_pipe is his campaign manager though and god knows the young fella is very industrious
1 Like