General Election 2020 Part 2

[Copper_pipe]

RTÉDublinFingal (RTEDublinFingal)

A fucking laptop

[ChairmanDan]

They need to find a Reynolds to run in Longford.

[eoghanruadha]

@Dziekanowski

…KK), Tully (Cavan Monaghan), Wynne (Clare), Mitchell (Dublin Bay North), McDonald (Dublin Central), O’Reilly (Dublin Fingal), Farrell (Galway West), Cronin (Kildare North), Ryan (Kildare South), Clarke (Longford-Westmeath), Munster (Louth), Conway-Walsh (Mayo), and Kerrane (Roscommon).Diversity works.

Don’t have figures but the impression is much more Outgoing Females were displaced - that might be just a refection of profile though e.g. Coppinger , Burton et al

[Bod95]

Word from the count centre is that Burke is safe and while some of Carrigys transfers are staying in Longford and going to
Flaherty it won’t be enough and Boxer will hold on.

[Bandage]

Watching Fine Fail narrowly lose tight battles deep into the count throughout today across the country has almost been as exhilarating as watching Sinn Féin candidates smashing the quotas yesterday. Incredible stuff.

[Midshipman_Asha]

Projections have it 35 outgoing female TDs, 36 incoming with Sinn Fein accounting for 13 I think

[Aristotle]

If Donnelly was to lose from here, it’d really make the day.

[Juhniallio]

Hopefully a few lads will transition at some stage over the next Dàil to get it up to 40.

[Midshipman_Asha]

Likely candidates?

[Dziekanowski]

I project Fine Gael will finish on 36, giving them Sligo-Leitrim at FF’s expense. But that one isn’t yet certain. It’s still possible we could have a three way tie on 37, if FG take two in Wicklow.

[Juhniallio]

@Aristotle

If Donnelly was to lose from here, it’d really make the day.

Id write him another email…

[gilgamboa]

@Bandage

Is Holly Cairns’ constituency where Liadh Ni Riada is based?

Did she run in any consituency or just for Europe/Pres?

She is from the gaeltacht near Macroom so different constituency to Cairns Id say

[eoghanruadha]

Completed Status Quo then! Headline grabbers like below misinforms somewhat and is based on profile rather than any gender bias.

[balbec]

@Tim_Riggins

Mate, SF voters are demanding tax cuts more than any other party and their IRA is solidifying Unionist opposition to a United Ireland.

SF in power could work out very well.

On the other hand if SF make a decent fist of being in power the Unionists might come to view them as a great bunch of lads.

[Fulvio_From_Aughnacloy]

Where have you them getting 36?

At 32 now and I see

1 in Sligo Leitrim
1 in Longford Westmeath
1 in Wicklow

Can’t see two in Wicklow now.

[Juhniallio]

Danny Healy Rae would be my first choice but realistically it’d be Jack chambers as the number one contender.

[Midshipman_Asha]

There’s a theory that outgoing female candidates are punished disproportionately heavily by the electorate

[balbec]

@Fulvio_From_Aughnacloy

Just seen Holly Cairns there.

A major disappointment.

Bit skinny looking. Maybe ok for an Oirish bird.

[Special_Olympiakos]

Locke will knife you

[ChairmanDan]

@Dziekanowski

I project Fine Gael will finish on 36, giving them Sligo-Leitrim at FF’s expense. But that one isn’t yet certain. It’s still possible we could have a three way tie on 37, if FG take two in Wicklow.

Is it 37 that Fianna Fáil are locked down for as things stand? Hoping for a 2nd in each of Donegal, Sligo/Leitrim and Longford/Westmeath but hopes fading in all three. It’s really Wicklow as their realistic shot to get to 38 and most seats.

Fine Gael locked down on 34, looking good to get to 36 with Sligo/Leitrim and Donegal. Wicklow an outside chance to get to 37.

IRA/SF finished with 37.