General Election 2020 - Predictions

No

When Labour have the smell of a Ministerial car you’d better not be standing in their way.

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It’s relatively simple really. FF with circa 55, FG circa 45 totalling about 100. About 85 required for comfort.

It’s difficult on these presumptive figures to cobble any administration together than an arrangement similar to the outgoing shitshow with FF at the wheel.

Labour 7. SF 20. Greens 6. Ind, including SD at 1 to make up the rest.

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Ff/SF/Greens it is. Let the games commence.

The arithmetic might just fit the scenario but, but…
@Little_Lord_Fauntleroy mightn’t be overly enamoured and that would concern me.

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As a devout Rovers/Greens/Chelsea/flying thousands of air miles/SF/Celtic/climate change/FG(yes)/Roma supporter, I think it’s fair to say he’ll adapt well enough.

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FF and FG could probably alternate minority governments for the next century. It is in their best interests to do so.

Much like last century so

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More or less although FF used to regularly get outright majorities and that will probably never happen again. The reality is there’s no alternative in terms of governing.

I disagree. In terms of their respective party interests, now is the time for FG to drive a stake through the hearts of FF. Lots of people still hate them and most of their support is around the age of you, @anon67715551 and @Fagan_ODowd. The most important thing for them is to deny ff a foothold in the hearts of younger voters.
FG will always have their core vote, egotistical business folk and the ‘I’m alright Jack’ movement. Thankfully, they peak around 25%. Which is healthy for the country. FF need in now to stay relevant. It’s their last roll of the dice. If they don’t get in and make a good go of it, they could drift into roaster obscurity.

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John Healy famously said - any socialism in the irish labour party went out the fumes of a state merc

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FF+Greens+independents. I’ve said it twice now

A non-runner. The 2 parties mentioned might cobble together 60. 85 would be seen as a safe majority. You’d need 20+ Healy-Raes…

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With a couple of FF gene pool independents it would be the “forty shades of green coalition”

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