March Moneymakers

Right a bit of research on this weekend’s matches.

4 recommendations below - might be a bit much putting all 4 together but there’s some value there.

Falkirk v Motherwell… Motherwell at 8/5

During the week I recommended backing Motherwell away to Aberdeen at 9/5, they drew. On Saturday they travel to Falkirk and PP are offering 8/5. The league table suggests a parity between Aberdeen and Falkirk and the stats will tell you they’re much the same sort of team. The reality is Aberdeen are a more resilient and experienced team than Falkirk and both of them are playing well below the level Motherwell are achieving.

Motherwell have 1 point from their last 2 games but they’ll have been buoyed by the late equaliser at Pittodrie. Not one to put the mortgage on but at 8/5 it’s a decent shout.

Cottbus v VFB Stuttgart… Stuttgart at 5/4

Stuttgart have really struggled badly for form all season - not that they haven’t picked up results but they’ve had patches of 4 or 5 games when they’ve looked like CL spot contenders and runs of games when they’ve been dire.

An unimpressive but important away win at Duisburg a couple of weeks ago looks to have kick-started their post winter break campaign. Last week they played very well in winning their derby against Karlsruhe 3-1 and crucially Mario Gomez has only been fined 8000 Euro and not suspended as a result of his post match interview (he called Maik Franz an arsehole on German tv). Anyone who saw a half-fit Gomez play for Germany at Croke Park might not think much of him but he’s a smashing player and Stuttgart’s good spells this year have generally coincided with Gomez being in the team. He has scored 4 goals in 4 games since the winter break and looked on fire last week.

Cottbus managed a draw at Nurnberg last week, a reflection on Nurnberg’s pitiful league form more than anything. They’re nearly as bad at home (11 points from 33) as they are away (6 from 30) and a price above evens for Stuttgart is a steal.

Hannover 96 v Nurnberg… Hannover at evens

Speaking of Nurnberg, they’re off to Hannover on Saturday. Hannover are a mid-table side with 4 wins and 4 losses at home and 4 wins and 4 losses away from home. To be honest they’re not in fantastic form with 2 draws and 2 losses since the resumption of the Bundesliga but one of those points was in Hamburg and they lost to Bayern as expected. The other loss was at Bochum who are very reliant on their home form. They’re very average but sometimes average is good enough.

Quite how Nurnberg nearly beat Benfica in the UEFA Cup is a mystery. They’d a cracking season last year but they’ve been shocking all year this time around and their away form in particular is appalling - 5 points from 11 matches - as bad as anyone else in the league. Anyway they were 2 goals up against Benfica and lost 2 in injury time in the second leg and that’s been the story of their season. Evens to get beaten is fine for me.

Hibernian v Celtic… Celtic at 8/13

Hibs are a bit of a bogey team for Celtic this year. They won at Easter Road and took a point at Celtic Park. Form has been a big problem for them though and they haven’t played with any consistency at all this season. They’ve strung together 4 wins in a row in the last 3 weeks however, although they haven’t really faced any decent oppostion since drawing away at Tannadice at the start of February.

Generally loathe to back on or recommend betting on Celtic but 8/13 is a decent price. 2 unimpressive performances in the league recently but both of those resulted in victories. Barcelona away isn’t the distraction it might have been - there’s no great expectation in going out there next Tuesday - and the domestic league is enough to concentrate the minds with 3 points required from every match.

Despite all the publicity earlier in the season about Celtic’s poor defensive record away from home the away form hasn’t been all that bad at all: 28 points from a possible 39, almost identical to Rangers’ points ratio. Hibs’ home form is slightly worse at 26 points from a possible 39.

It’s not the banker I’d like it to be and it’s not fantastic value but 8/13 is just tempting enough to form part of an accumulator in my book.

MK Dons v Chester
1st of March 2008 3:00pm
Win-Draw-Win
MK Dons @ 4 - 9
Peterborough v Bury
1st of March 2008 3:00pm
Win-Draw-Win
Peterborough @ 1 - 2
Hertha Berlin v Duisburg
29th of February 2008 7:30pm
Win-Draw-Win
Hertha Berlin @ 8 - 11
Werder Bremen v Dortmund
1st of March 2008 2:30pm
Win-Draw-Win
Werder Bremen @ 4 - 5

10e gets 67ish

Falkirk v Motherwell
1st of March 2008 3:00pm
Win-Draw-Win
Motherwell @ 8 - 5
Hannover 96 v Nurnberg
1st of March 2008 2:30pm
Win-Draw-Win
Hannover 96 @ 11 - 10
Peterborough v Bury
1st of March 2008 3:00pm
Win-Draw-Win
Peterborough @ 4 - 9

This little dinger renders 78e for your tenner. It’s all about working some cash up for Cheltenham

Was going to put Hertha in my bets alright Juhy but I can’t follow their form at all - they’re all over the place. Having said that the obvious thing was to back against Duisburg, as I’ve done every other week, so not really sure why I turned down a handy 8/11.

Cottbus - Stuttgart has been postponed, some sort of storm called Emma I think if my German is correct. Anyway the 3 above without that game is still over 8/1

Aston villa and the draw at 13/10 looks a good bet today. I’ll be putting this with Man utd (-1) at 5/6 and Dublin (-4) at 10/11.

[quote=“Juhniallio”]MK Dons v Chester
1st of March 2008 3:00pm
Win-Draw-Win
MK Dons @ 4 - 9
Peterborough v Bury
1st of March 2008 3:00pm
Win-Draw-Win
Peterborough @ 1 - 2
Hertha Berlin v Duisburg
29th of February 2008 7:30pm
Win-Draw-Win
Hertha Berlin @ 8 - 11
Werder Bremen v Dortmund
1st of March 2008 2:30pm
Win-Draw-Win
Werder Bremen @ 4 - 5

10e gets 67ish[/quote]

Happy days, as this romped home. I’ll do one more accumulator tomorrow to try and raise some more Cheltenham cash.

This also came in at just over 7/1. Going to put a large part of my winnings on Liverpool (4/5) tomorrow along with Cork to beat Roscommon (4/6) - double works out at 2/1.

Hamburg v Eint Frankfurt
2nd of March 2008 4:00pm
Win-Draw-Win
Hamburg @ 8 - 13
Villarreal v Osasuna
2nd of March 2008 6:00pm
Win-Draw-Win
Villarreal @ 4 - 6
Almeria v Athletic Bilbao
2nd of March 2008 8:00pm
Win-Draw-Win
Almeria @ 11 - 10

I like to think this baby has a decent chance. It’s only about 5or six to one.

Right, a 5/1 sure fire treble:

Hamburg v Eint Frankfurt
2nd of March 2008 4:00pm
Win-Draw-Win
Hamburg @ 8 - 13

Betis v Murcia
2nd of March 2008 4:00pm
Win-Draw-Win
Betis @ 4 - 5

Getafe v Mallorca
2nd of March 2008 4:00pm
Win-Draw-Win
Getafe @ evens

[quote=“Bandage”]Right, a 5/1 sure fire treble:

Hamburg v Eint Frankfurt
2nd of March 2008 4:00pm
Win-Draw-Win
Hamburg @ 8 - 13

Betis v Murcia
2nd of March 2008 4:00pm
Win-Draw-Win
Betis @ 4 - 5

Getafe v Mallorca
2nd of March 2008 4:00pm
Win-Draw-Win
Getafe @ evens[/quote]

Those stupid fooking Getafe fooks threw away a 3-1 lead against 10 men to screw up my bet. Hambug and Betis romped home 4-1 and 4-0 respectively. I’ll have to bet on whatever late games are on now.

This 8/1 treble actually will do the job - no doubts at all:

Napoli v Inter Milan
2nd of March 2008 7:30pm
Win-Draw-Win
Inter Milan @ evens

Bordeaux v PSG
2nd of March 2008 7:55pm
Win-Draw-Win
Bordeaux @ 10 - 11

Sporting Lisbon v Benfica
2nd of March 2008 8:30pm
Win-Draw-Win
Sporting Lisbon @ 7 - 5

Up 183 on my original 10. For tomorrows games I’m going to put 20 of this on Man utd (2/5), AC Milan (11/10) and Blackpool (5/6) - that would pay out approx 110.

A tidy few tips to begin with on here Monkey.

My new banker are Peterborough under Darren Ferguson. They’re beating all before them at present and are 10/11 away to Barnet tomorrow.

Doncaster are also a good bet tomorrow at 6/4 away to a Bristol Rovers team that will have one eye on their cup quarter final. Doncaster are on a good run at the moment and are now second in the division.

Also think 4 or more goals in the Barcelona - Celtic game is a decent bet at 15/8. If Celtic go on the attack there is a good possibility of this being a goal fest.

These two bets along with Bandage’s tip of Peterborough works out at 13/1.

Somewhat chastened by my last punting experience I have just laid a massive €2.65 each way on Kalderon in a rare ante post bet in next Tuesday’s NH show piece in the Cotswolds. The horse is not yet a certainty to run but showed good form when came in an effortless third to Harchibald on Friday night. He is currently 100/1 to one with Ladbrokes. Good each way punt if he takes his chance. Is 20/1 in the Coral Cup on the Friday.

Another horse to follow is Cooldine, originally Mullins had intended to skip Cheltenham but is thought to be travelling with this Beneficial gelding now. Destroyed a couple of reasonable fields recently and maybe a decent bet if he takes up his entries. He is ante post at 20/1 and 12/1 for both his entries. A machine by all accounts.

All that said I’ve never made a cent from the Cheltenham festival and think its a waste of time betting on it. This could be my year tho…

I saw Cooldine gallop after racing in Leopardstown yesterday and he looked impressive. He’s also entered in Thurles this Friday but wouldnt expect him to run there. PP have him at 33/1 for one of the races and 11/1 for the other.