Munster Rugby - We DID start the fire (Part 1)

The losing BP has an additional advantage ( albeit not in munster situation) because if tied at top of pool the points gained from the games in head to head is the first decider

So Munster got 5 +1 and Leicester only 0+4. So you can see in a tight pool a losing bonus point against main rivals can be v important

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No Glasgow hammered em last nt but didnt get the NP. No betting on it yet but I’d say Glasgow near favs for pool.

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Well that puts racing out so. The French have a tendancy to lose interest after that. Looking like the away game in Scotland will be winner takes all

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They wouldn’t have to worry about score difference if they were able to beat a team they were way better than

Leicester might do us a favour and beat Glasgow in Welford Rd as well.

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Looking at the table there, ito still looks OK for Munster. Granted they have 2 away games but like I said the French will lose interest. It is not impossible that a bonus point win against Racing at home and even tworse bonus point defeats cpull see them through

L

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Being reported this mornign that Keatley has signed for Bayonne next season. Delighted for him if true. Genuinely feared he would need to drop way down the levels to get a gig. They are in a relegation battle in top tier alright so may well end up in pro d2. One of smallest budgets in top 14 but he’d still be matching his Munster package I’d imagine.

Was going to be on the cards once the Hanrahan story broke

Even if JJ wasn’t coming back no way his contract was being renewed IMO. Best for all now to shake hands and start anew

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If the rugby odds compilers are correct, Munster have become a 20 point better side since coach Foley’s untimely passing.

Prior to the original game vs Racing Metro 92 RFC, Munster were given a 14 point start on the handicap. This weekend, punters must choose whether they can give up a 6 point start.

For match betting purposes, they were 7/1 to win the first day. 2/5 is the best you will get this weekend.

Some turnaround

Lazy analysis

Racing are out of the competition and likely not to play strongest side. Far bigger factor in the pricing

I wouldn’t be touching Munster at the price they are anyways

They opened at minus 2 in the handicap. You can thank me for it being minus 6 now.

Should win but not a bet at all for me tbh. Racing unbeaten at home in league all season despite average form. Munster are in trouble if they don’t win it. If I was a neutral I’d be v interested in the Glasgow to win pool price.

I wouldnt touch them at minus 6. They’ll win but it will be very very tough.

Almost certain to be 10 better bets in the less popular markets than that handicap

Cj stander is over due a European try.

Name a Jaysus. Fellas trying to inject a bit of excitement into this. Are ye having a laugh. Racing are in free fall and out of the competition. They won’t give a tuppeny damn about this. Fill your boots on Munster -6.

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Think they will win as well but backing an away team at odds on to comfortably beat a French side with the quality in their squad is the quick way to the poorhouse.

Munster probably close to same price to score 2 or more tries or odds against in race to 25 points markets. Both far better bets

Really don’t like the handicap betting in rugby. I think it is the main market the compilers concentrate on v hard to get the better of them.

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GT isn’t writing Racing off and no one knows the prodedoo better than GT

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They haven’t won the Bookleeyeh in a long time though.