O6 Local Elections

The trend is consistent.

  • Unionism is shrinking. That shrink is quicker and to a greater degree than expected
  • Nationalism is growing slowly but steadily
  • The middle ground is growing slowly
  • It is a mistake to believe all nationalists would vote for a United/Shared Ireland
  • It is a mistake to believe that 80% of the middle ground is unionist (or that Alliance solely makes up the middle ground). Trevor Lunn is part of a pattern
  • Not all Unionists would vote against a United/Shared Ireland. Some are persuadable
  • The arguments around what and how a United/Shared Ireland would operate will make a significant difference to the outcome of any referendum
  • If the pro United/Shared Ireland is a broad, ground up movement it might just succeed. It would need to become larger than any one party and operate differently to party politics
  • If it is about the north being subsumed into a narrow south it won’t
  • A long way to go but Ireland north and south is changing. The failure (or is it unwillingness?) to recognise this from people in the south who do not want a United/Shared Ireland mirrors the failure from some in Unionism to stick the head in the sand.
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Dont forget about having to sort out teplacing their shitty Taytos with our wonderful Taytos.

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Fair play to Carruthers for calling out his idiocy.

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Border Poll
Border Poll
Border Poll

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