[QUOTE=“Rocko, post: 946516, member: 1”]Three opinion polls out today:
Irish Times - Euro Elections
Dublin (3 seats)
Lynn Boylan SF 23%
Brian Hayes FG 22%
Mary Fitzpartrick FF 12%
Eamonn Ryan GP 10%
Emer Costello Lab 9%
Nessa Childers Ind 8%
Brid Smith PPP 7%
Paul Murphy SP 6%
The last two left-wing candidates will transfer to eachother and might pick up something from Lynn Boylan, depending on when people get eliminated. That’s a particularly poor score from Labour - Dublin would always have been their strongest area and they’re miles behind Sinn Féin. Of course their response seems to be to attack SF instead of wonderiny why their centrist policies aren’t picking up votes from the left anymore. Big battle on for the third seat beyween Eamonn Ryan, Emer Costello, Mary Fitzpatrick and Nessa Childers.
South (4 seats)
Brian Cowley FF 31%
Liah Ní Riada SF 19%
Sean Kelly FG 13%
Deirdre Clune FG 8%
Simon Harris FG 7%
Grace O’Sullivan GP 6%
Phil Prendergast Lab 6%
Kieran Hartley FF 2%
Crowley and Ni Riada will get in here. Then Kelly will get in with transfers and last one will be between Clune and O’Sullivan with Clune probably getting a second FG seat.
Midlands North West (34seats)
Mairead McGuinness FG 18%
Matt Carthy SF 15%
Pat the cope Gallagher FF 12%
Luke Ming Flanagan Ind 12%
Marian Harkin Ind 10%
Jim Higgins FG 9%
Lorraine Higgins Lab 8%
Thomas Byrne FF 8%
McGuinness is safe. Carthy should have enough too. Last two seats between Gallagher, Flanagan, Jim Higgins and Marian Harkin.
Irish Sun Red C Poll
Fine Gael 25%
Sinn Féin 20%
Fianna Fáil 20%
Labour 8%
Independents 24%
Irish Independent Millward Brown Poll
Sinn Féin 23%
Fianna Fáil 21%
Fine Gael 20%
Labour 6%
Independents 27%[/QUOTE]
Independents polling 24% and 27% in those polls suggests a big left wing vote out there as most independents are left wing/single issue/anti austerity
SF/Independent government after the next GE could be a possibility
