Group 1
Mayo win the group if they get a draw or win against Cork.
Cork would win the group on head to head if they beat Mayo and Kerry fail to beat Louth.
Any of the top three teams could win the group on scoring difference in the event of a three way tie on 4 points.
Given Louth and Kerry have the same scoring difference, any Louth win puts them ahead of Kerry and into a qualifying position.
If Louth and Mayo win, it’s a three way tie for the 2-4 positions on 2 points and scoring difference is the tiebreaker.
If Louth and Mayo win, Kerry would need to make up three or possibly four points on Cork in scoring difference in order to avoid being eliminated.
If Louth win and Cork avoid defeat against Mayo, Kerry are eliminated.
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 30 | +6 | 4 | Advance to quarter-final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 37 | −3 | 2 | Advance to preliminary quarter-final | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 36 | −3 | 0 |
I’ve a sneaking fancy Cork will beat Mayo and Kerry will beat Louth by about 13 points, and Kerry will win the group.