Leicester (-10) v Exeter. 5 points. 10/11 numerous.
I really, really, really like the look of Leicester tomorrow. They could easily hand out an absolute hammering to Exeter. Leicester have drawn and lost their last two games, they played some serious rugby against Quins last week but made an unbelievable amount of handling errors at crucial stages and had a frustrating loss. Exeter on the other hand beat Sarries last week, a great result for them, admittedly I didn’t see that game but they had an embarrassing loss to London Welsh the week before. They have lost every game away from home, and when they’re bad they are awful. Leicester need to put in a performance, we are getting closer to the HC and they will want to get into sync. I took -9 with Boyles earlier but that has dried up, -10 is widespread now, I was also looking at playing them up to around the -20 mark but the odds aren’t fantastic on the alternative handicaps so -10 is the safest bet. A big one for me.
Harlequins total points. Under 23.5. 4 points. 10/11 Sportingbet.
Harlequins - the most over-rated team in Europe. That’s all you need to know really. Along with wind and rain expected at the Stoop. Sarries can certainly put it up to Quins, I wouldn’t be surprised if they upset the odds at 7/4 but I couldn’t have too much faith in them winning. I can’t see Quins scoring 24 points against them though, it will be a tight affair. 23.5 is a fair old mark, everyone else goes 22.5. I’d still take that.
Harlequins total points. Under 23.5. 4 points. 10/11 Sportingbet.
Harlequins - the most over-rated team in Europe. That’s all you need to know really. Along with wind and rain expected at the Stoop. Sarries can certainly put it up to Quins, I wouldn’t be surprised if they upset the odds at 7/4 but I couldn’t have too much faith in them winning. I can’t see Quins scoring 24 points against them though, it will be a tight affair. 23.5 is a fair old mark, everyone else goes 22.5. I’d still take that.[/quote]
Really fancy this pony to oblige. I very much liked his last run when a very strong travelling and credible 2nd to Blazing Tempo over the same course and distance as today in a decent mares hurdle. This looks weaker, think the 2nd fav, Distant Memories is a bit of a pig and I fully expect Burn & Turn to go off shorter than current 9/4. Conditions are fine and I expect her to win.
Bet 138
Scarlets (-10) v Dragons. 4 points. 1/1 Ladbrokes
I was against Scarlets when they played Ospreys, I’m all for them tonight. They were impressive in the early rounds but have lost their last two, including Treviso last week. I fully expect them to bounce back in style in front of their home fans with the HC next week. They will be looking to put in a solid performance and I can see them winning pulling up here. Dragons are a funny side, they can be awful and then decent, they were decent last week when they handed out a beating to Edinburgh but they have lost their last 3 games away and I expect they will be rolled over here. Scarlets will win the battle up front and have North and Fenby on the wings. 10 points is a very nice handicap line and even money is there for the taking.
TTK was on 48 1/2 pts after 14 bets. If anyone had the time or inclination to run the bets by sport, you would see that rugby is what has kept the show on the road since.