Why? The Tories need the Lib Dems to make a coalition. Labour signed their death warrant when they elected that eejit Ed Milliband as leader.
If you have a satellite tune in bbc1 London on the add channels option.
[QUOTE=“Kinvara’s Passion, post: 1135860, member: 686”]Sunderland results expected in first… They pride themselves in being first up.[/QUOTE]most of them northern hellholes are labour strongholds
[QUOTE=“Rocko, post: 1135861, member: 1”]The Yougov exit poll is very different:
CON 284 MPs, LAB 263, LIBS 31, SNP 48, UKIP 2, PLAID 3, GREEN 1[/QUOTE]
Just saw that. More in line with pre-election predictions, but so different someone has to have got it very wrong.
IRA/SF abstention would give the CUP/DUP a working majority.
The big issue for the DUP for the night ahead is whether they can still remain the 4th largest party in the House.
[QUOTE=“Rocko, post: 1135855, member: 1”]Lib Dems should run a mile from that but a coalition with the DUP would be unbelievably precarious and even the Tories would want to avoid that at all costs you’d imagine.
SNP predicted to get all but 1 seat in Scotland. Seems ridiculously high but even if they’re close it will be a huge point of friction now between Scotland and London. Might just hurry along the next referendum for the Scots.[/QUOTE]
55/56 was my prediction. This wasn’t unforeseeable. They were strong bookies favourites in all but four constituencies.
I suspect the Tories may not get the 316 predicted. This election is incredibly difficult to poll accurately due to tactical voting patterns ad geographical discrepancies.
And in fact just as I write this a YouGov exit poll has it much tighter - with the Tories on 284, Labour 263, Liberals on 31 and SNP on 48.
[QUOTE=“Manuel Zelaya, post: 1135870, member: 377”]IRA/SF abstention would give the CUP/DUP a working majority.
The big issue for the DUP for the night ahead is whether they can still remain the 4th largest party in the House.[/QUOTE]
323 is a majority without SF and the speaker.
325 and a majority of 3 is incredibly precarious. The Tories had a majority of 11, I think in 1992, but were a minority by 1996, and ended up needing UUP support.
See how often you get right 54 favourites right in a football accumulator.
YouGov “exit poll” isn’t really a proper exit poll at all. Online survey of 6000 taken yesterday with the same people recontacted today.
What’s the sample size of the main exit poll?
[QUOTE=“Manuel Zelaya, post: 1135870, member: 377”]IRA/SF abstention would give the CUP/DUP a working majority.
The big issue for the DUP for the night ahead is whether they can still remain the 4th largest party in the House.[/QUOTE]
So the SF abstention would give the DUP a nice bit of sway in Westminster?
[QUOTE=“Sidney, post: 1135878, member: 183”]YouGov “exit poll” isn’t really a proper exit poll at all. Online survey of 6000 taken yesterday with the same people recontacted today.
What’s the sample size of the main exit poll?[/QUOTE]
There’s a right whiff of Guardian reading desperation on Twitter clinging to it…
Would it be safe to say that the Brits ultimately examined Miliband as PM material and thought “no thanks”? This election should have been tap-in stuff for labour.
Paxman playing sit down comedian on C4.
Phone Calls being made already between David Cameron and the DUP according to BBC4, RED ROVER
So who’s right? Are the greens going to get one or two seats? Who cares about the Tories etc? @Raymond Crotty never mentioned them in his betting thread
`
The bottom line is, Dave is the kind of bloke you’d want running an Empire. Red Ed most certainly isn’t.
Govt requires 326
SF 5
Tories require 316 plus 5
DUP 8
Tory minority supported by DUP
Sinn Fein have made the DUP the kingmakers!
How ironic 