UK general election 2019 - corbinned

Unlikely to have a crash out Brexit now which is good but you’re right - lots of unknown side-effects most of which aren’t good.

Literally they aren’t going anywhere

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They are, backwards

Hmmmm, it’s still quite possible at the end of 2020

Talks will not go well

The only way you can do a trade deal in a year is if you basically have full EU alignment

So what happens when that trade deal cannot be done and the Tories go full on civil war, which could happen

The unknown unknowns now come into play.

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Perhaps - still risks everywhere. Once the Brexit vote passed though (with Corbyns lacklustre effort) the Pandora’s box was opened. Hard to see it ever being closed again. The original sin.

We all naively thought Momentum signified forward momentum

It was the Tory press that won the Brexit referendum

Had the Tory presss been in favour of staying in the EU, Remain would have won 65-35 minimum

They’re a cancer on public discourse

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This is true

FFS sake sid. You changed your prediction more than once. Leaving yourself with a number of various predictions to point at is shithouse punditry. It’s like when @RaymondCrotty fell apart at the seams (one of the times).

Definitely a factor. The Labour leader effectively shrugging his shoulders and not going all in wasn’t a great help either though.

This is the spirit you’ll need to make it through the night

What an odd post

Be some craic if Borris lost his seat

Surely impossible - but t’would be hilarious

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I projected this last week

I presume all these including the projected Lib Dem gains have probably gone for the Tories

Probably Leigh, Delyn, and a couple of the Durham seats as well

Tory gains from Labour:

Ashfield
Barrow and Furness
Bassetlaw
Battersea (split Lab/Lib Dem vote)
Bedford
Bishop Auckland
Blackpool South
Bolsover
Bolton North East
Bury North
Colne Valley
Crewe and Nantwich
Croydon Central
Dagenham and Rainham
Darlington
Derby North
Dewsbury
Don Valley
Dudley North
Gedling
Great Grimsby
Halifax
High Peak
Hyndburn
Ipswich
Keighley
Kensington (split Lab/Lib Dem vote)
Lancaster and Fleetwood
Lincoln
Newcastle Under Lyme
Penistone and Stocksbridge
Reading East
Rother Valley
Scunthorpe
Sedgefield
Stockton South
Stoke On Trent Central
Stoke On Trent North
Stroud
Wakefield
Walsall South
Warrington South
Warwick and Leamington
Weaver Vale
West Bromwich West
Wirral West
Wolverhampton North East
Wolverhampton South West
Workington
Bridgend
Cardiff North
Clywd South
Gower
Vale of Clwyd
Wrexham

Tory gains from Lib Dems:
North Norfolk
Westmorland and Lonsdale
Brecon and Radnorshire

Lib Dem gains from Tories:
Cheadle
Cheltenham
Eastleigh
Guildford
Hazel Grove
Lewes
North Devon
Richmond Park
Southport
St. Ives

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You were saying earlier that you couldn’t believe the Tories could beat Labour in London and that Labour might beat the Tories in Scotland. I find both those things very believable. Boris is very popular in London where he was mayor, whereas he is despised in Scotland because he said that a pound spent in London was better for the country than a pound spent in Glasgow (and also because the Scots although cowardly have a little bit of sense).

If the SNP are on 55 I presume the fragrant Jo Swinson and her boobies are gone too

I hope Layla Moran has held on

She’d be a good Lib Dem leader