Bernie leading in NH with 29%, Buttigieg on 22% and surprisingly Klobuchar on 21%.
Looking like Biden and Warren the big losers currently below 10%. Yang has dropped out.
Yeah, it’s a pity. He had some new ideas and was at least talking about the effects of the coming AI/Robotics/Automation revolution and the impact it will have on the work environment. Currently 70% of work is done by humans and 30% by machines, that will be 50:50 before we know it. There is a massive realignment coming in terms of what training and skills workers will need in the next economy.
He was our last chance against skynet
Justice finally catching up with Jussie Smollett.
Biden has fled to South Carolina, his last chance saloon.
Bernie Sanders is Trumps worst nightmare.
Himself and Mary Lou will make this world a world worth living in. Again
Has Bloomberg any real chance of getting the nomination AND winning ?
Who better to defeat a rich narcissist, than an even richer narcissist?
A Jewish ex-Republican Rich Narcissist?
At least he made his money himself and has some political experience I guess
Klobuchar has a bit of momentum recently, she needs sleepy Joe and Warren to drop out though and then she has a right chance. She would be a terrible match up for Trump.
He has an increasing chance of being the challenger to Sanders because Biden is falling away, and the other so called centrist candidates are eating up each others’ votes and none look particularly viable in the long term because of lack of funds and poor performance among minority voters.
Money buys you a lot and Bloomberg has an endless supply of it meaning he can flood the Super Tuesday states with advertising. He also has smart people on his campaign and his online ads are very good.
I had a nibble on both bets for Bloomberg. He will be 78 (seventy eight) on Friday. Would still be short of 79 when inaugurated so no problem there. Trump will be only be 74 this June.
Will his Jewishness come against him in the long run or is that an issue in the swing states?
It would be a huge target for online Trump supporters as would be the case with Sanders, and the dog whistles would be widespread, long and hard.
Can Bernie realistically beat Trump?
I don’t think so.
For the democrats to win they need to win 95 votes from the following battleground states (2016 Vote ) Assuming they win 13 safe Blue states.
Colorado -9 (D)
New Mexico -5 (D)
Connecticut - 7 (D)
Maine - 4 (D)
North Carolina - 15 ( R)
Pennsylvannia -20 ( R)
Minnesota - 10 (D)
Michigan -16 ( R)
Wisconsin - 10 ( R)
Kentucky - 8 ( R)
Virgina - 13 (D)
New Hampshire - 4 (D)
Ohio - 18 ( R)
Iowa -6 ( R)
Florida - 29 ( R)
Nevada - 6 (D)
2016 Result Trump 306 - Clinton 232
Typically Pennsylvania - Virgina bracket above is the winning area. If the Dems win the ones above and 4 out f 6 of these states they are close . For the Reps if they win the ones below and up to Kentucky they are close. You will have a number of outliers as population demographics change. Nevada being th obvious one.
What does all this show?
The Democrats need a lot more of the battle state wins than the Republicans. A socialist carrying states in places like Minnesota , Wisconsin , Virgina, Kentucky is unlikely which means they need to win in the likes of Florida.
Bloomberg is probably their best chance
Any chance of a candidate under 70 no?