Of course he has a chance. Both candidates are deeply unpopular, but Clintonâs unfavorability ratings are rising. Turnout is likely to be the lowest in history, which could result in some traditional state outcomes not being so predictable.
Clinton has been spending all her time fundraising (she is in SF again this weekend for a $10k a head event), so her strategy will be to bombard the airwaves with attack ads. The question is will that help her as she is already regarded as a pathological liar. Most of the people I know who are stanch Democrats are pretty disgusted by her, they wouldnât vote for Trump but they might not vote for her either.
As close as the polls are now, the debates will be decisive. They will also be the most watched in history, as there is genuine interest in which of them will have a mental breakdown on stage. Although Clinton is a good debater, she is not comfortable answering tough questions. She hasnât held a press conference for 273 days, an incredible statistic for someone running for president.
The thought of her as president is actually scarier than Trump. She is a totally incompetent hawk, a very dangerous combination. For all his bluster, Trump would likely be a non interventionist on foreign policy and focus his efforts on the domestic front.
Thereâs no contradiction. Just because there is huge interest in the debates doesnât mean you can correlate that to turnout. In fact, the debates may turn more people against voting, if the level of negativity is as high as anticipated.
On foreign policy, we know where Hillary stands based on her voting record as a senator and her time as secretary of state. Her history is that of an incompetent meddler (Egypt, Libya, Syria). With Trump all we have is his one major foreign policy speech where he is equally critical of Republican and Democratic actions in the past.
I would be interested to hear why you think he would be more interventionist than Hillary. His rhetoric of putting America first suggests the opposite. The regime changes and attempted nation building in the ME has been a complete failure under both Bush and Obama.
As long as Florida and Ohio are in play thereâs hope for Trump, but it will take an almighty swing to get him back to a position from which he can win.
There has been so much shit flung in every direction over the past year, you would have to question the significance of any further dirt at this stage.
