A fundamental misunderstanding of British history and society and of the way mass propaganda works. Also a profound failure of imagination.
Yes it is an extremely scary prospect.
Farage is becoming leader of Reform UK and is standing in Clacton. His press conference here will become even more notorious in historical terms than Enoch Powell’s Rivers Of Blood speech. He’s unleashing full Trumpism on Britain.
Britain’s history is empire, war, conquest. That is still hardwired into the white population of Britain. Britain voted for Brexit because racism and nihilism were mobilised. The British public were extremely receptive to it.
Lots of countries thought “it can’t happen here”, and they were wrong.
Starmer is a charisma vacuum. Labour could get 500 seats in this election and it will be helped in this by Farage splitting the right wing vote. But this will be a temporary thing. Labour’s support in this election will be a mile wide but it is an inch deep and within a short time after the election Labour will have become extremely unpopular.
Reform UK are already heading for 15% in the polls. The Tories are plumbing 20%. That could easily reverse and Reform could pull more votes than the Toroes. Because of the Tories’ party machinery they’ll likely take more seats than Reform, but they could be under 50. They could go lower than that. Reform might get 15-20 seats. It is even possible that Reform sweeps the Tories aside in this election, because the Tories are led by a brown man of Indian heritage who is pretty wooden charisma wise. The image of Sunak standing in the rain is the sort of thing that actually cuts through to people even in and of itself it is completely irrelevant.
What will likely happen then is that high profile Tory figures, say Rees-Mogg or Braverman, will defect to Reform and the Tories will become a skeleton of a party. Headbanger celebrities will flock to endorse Reform UK. Celebrity has ever more currency in the world of the INTERNET. Farage’s appeal is celebrity.
The Tories might then appoint Kemi Badenoch or somebody as leader and go even lower than they will be at this election. The way will then be clear for Reform and for Farage. The few remaining “moderates” in the Tory party will drift towards the Liberal Democrats. Even if the Tories appointed somebody “moderate” like Penny Mordaunt Farage will trounce her.
Farage will gain mass popularity in Northern constituencies in the same way Boris Johnson did. But he doesn’t have the toxic Tory branding that is still toxic in Northern England.
By 2029 Reform could be in a position where Farage could become Prime Minister.
We’re about to see US style mass conspiracism become a major thing in UK politics and UK society and it will be a mass movement driven by Farage. Fascism thrives on a charismatic demagogue and Farage is a classic demagogue.
