Cheltenham 2012

I think his run behind big bucks, not his novice win is the form which could see him placed if the race did cut up and he jumped well. There’s logic to it alright …anybody else think Sir Des Champ is hyped on what he’s actually beaten ? Where would he have finished in the feltham? I see Nicholls has more or less said silvinaccio is going the aintree route, bobs worth is prob the bet on good, last installment on easing gnd

The race can pan out into anything Fenway. Grands Crus could do a Cooldine on it and hack up, or he could go the same ways as Long Run / Punchestowns & Time For Rupert. Barring 2007, 2008, 2009 it’s been a race that’s tough for favourites to win. I’m just looking through the list for a horse that is overpriced relative to what he’s done on the course and how he should be improving for a new trainer who knows how to get horses chasing properly. Like some of the other ones it’s a small stake at big odds. Anyone lumping on any of the horses in this race at this stage would want to really think about what they’re doing. There’s so much uncertainty that it could be a costly exercise.

Edit - it was also touted as a very hot renewal in 2010 and remember how that panned out :wink:

There’s a lot of movement in the market today as pricewise is putting his selection up for this race tomorrow. First Lieutenant is blue across the boards but I wouldn’t take it as a given that he’s the selection. Join Together and Last Installment have also been shortened up as well.

On SDC - from his last run beating Hidden Cyclone and FOF - on paper he should be beating FOF by a lot further. HC scoped badly afterwards so obv wasn’t right. On that form alone, it was actually a very poor run from SDC.

SDC will be a different animal when stepped up in distance. He has a right chance in RSA. I have watched a number of his runs in last few days and have come to the above conclusion, so much so that i would have him as the main threat to Grand Crus.

Go live moved to the end of April. Awh yeah :pint:

Yert :clap: :clap: :clap:

Thanks for bumping chewy. Pricewise has tipped Silviniaco Conte for the RSA. No dramatic price change. Hills and Ladbrokes stand their ground at 14’s. Most others cut to 12’s. Berties Dream now a best price 33’s!

I thought SC was the best value RSA bet but stable indicators say he’ll go to aintree

Nichols is on record as saying as much. Also stated that he is concerned about his effectiveness around cheltenham and that he may prefer a flatter track.

[quote=“chewy louie, post: 650304”]

Go live moved to the end of April. Awh yeah

Yert [/quote]
Will you be in attendance so Chewy? I’ve now been offered tickets for the week if I want them but have only booked the Thursday and Friday off so far.

I may make a day trip down for one of the days

Anyone got any strong opinions on the Ryanair Chase at the moment?

I think whatever beats rubi light will win it

Little Josh would be my outsider, thought he ran a lovely race last week

I would be of the same opinion about Rubi Light but he’s too short for me at his current price. Reading the quotes after last years race, they feel he would have won it on softer ground but I don’t think he’ll get that ground this year. I’m trying to make a case for Medermit and Apt Approach. The former has some excellent form around the track but still hasn’t won a race there, while the latter is progressing with each race over fences but would need a bog to have a chance I feel.

Backed medermit in arkle last year, he runs in snatches, seems to get outpaced over 2m and step up will suit, wouldn’t back him again but wouldn’t dissuade anybody else and wouldn’t be a shock if he won it, has to be involved

King admitted after the Arkle last year that he got it wrong running in it and should have put him in the Jewson. His run behind Master Minded earlier in the season doesn’t look all that great but the other run is very encouraging.

When he did step him up he was no match for wishful thinking at aintree next time out

Somersby

Best to ignore form after Cheltenham as horses can underperform due to been over the top.

I’m also a fan of Apt Approach.

I’ve backed Riverside Theatre at 11.5 on BF. Was on him A/P last year at 6s and felt he would have won handily had he not gotten injured. Alberta’s Run the biggest worry if he shows up. Would be laying Noble Prince all day long