Cheltenham 2015

Thought you’d be pushing Taquin again.

Nah, TDS does not jump well enough. Eduard’s two efforts this year are excellent. At Carlisle he was beaten less than two lengths by Many Clouds (received 6 pounds) while there was a further 15 lengths back to Holywell (who wore Cheekpieces). He would have won last time out in Peterborough but for a mistake at last. He will be in his element on the new course and better ground. I would fear Ma Filleule the most.

TDS on my shortlist…first time he gets his distance in health…reminds me a lot of an old friend (Alberta’s Run) re his prep…ignore his seasonal form to date

Yep, TDS is trained for 1 race each year and seems to like that course having won the JLT there. All depends if McCoy can ride him though I suppose.

Gonna have to take a 2nd look at Eduard now though.

TDS jumping is a worry, the hope is the good ground helps…he didn’t jump well winning the JLT, if he did manage to get it together he’d be serious, but price reflects that fault I guess

The Don wins lads

Do you think he would have won the RSA?

Polli Aye
Cossack Nay

I don’t Kid - didn’t think he was going that well when coming down.

[QUOTE=“Lazarus, post: 1097095, member: 286”]Polli Aye
Cossack Nay
[/QUOTE]
As mentioned above, I’ve doubled them up - they look rock solid to me

I think hurricane fly is a cracking e/w value bet. Also ballycasey in the Ryanair Chase ew

http://heathersanimations.com/dance2/cos.gif

[QUOTE=“the fling, post: 1097168, member: 2795”]I think hurricane fly is a cracking e/w value bet. Also ballycasey in the Ryanair Chase ew
[/QUOTE]
The Fly will need rain to have a chance of finishing in first 3. Wouldn’t be a bet for me tbh.

Can’t have Ballycasey either. Looks to have really regressed this season

[QUOTE=“thedancingbaby, post: 1097202, member: 48”]The Fly will need rain to have a chance of finishing in first 3. Wouldn’t be a bet for me tbh.

Can’t have Ballycasey either. Looks to have really regressed this season[/QUOTE]
Fly looks as good as ever this year. If Faugheen was not running, he’d be the one I’d fancy. He was not right last spring, run at Cheltenham was too bad to be true and his run at Punchestown confirmed this.

I thought he would win first time out this year and that would be his lot but he has looked better with each run. Definitely the value in the race.

I think WPM could have the 123 in the Champion. I would worry that Jezki has had the heart ripped out of him by Hurricane Fly this year. TNO has always jumped to his right and that tendency has gotten worse this year.

[QUOTE=“fenwaypark, post: 1097204, member: 276”]Fly looks as good as ever this year. If Faugheen was not running, he’d be the one I’d fancy. He was not right last spring, run at Cheltenham was too bad to be true and his run at Punchestown confirmed this.

I thought he would win first time out this year and that would be his lot but he has looked better with each run. Definitely the value in the race.[/QUOTE]
If the race was at Leopardstown, I’d consider him but he’s not the same horse at Cheltenham. I’d expect Faugheen, Jezki and TNO to finish in front of him. Ruby knows…

He still has won two Champion Hurdles at Cheltenham so I can’t buy that the track does’nt suit (granted he is unbeatable at Leop). He could well have won three but for a questionable ride by Ruby where he thought he had one horse to beat, Binocular.

You’re overthinking things and putting human characteristics on a horse, pal.

Jezki is a horse and just runs along as fast he can.

[QUOTE=“Bandage, post: 1097252, member: 9”]You’re overthinking things and putting human characteristics on a horse, pal.

Jezki is a horse and just runs along as fast he can.[/QUOTE]
I think you are underestimating the intelligence of horses.

[QUOTE=“Bandage, post: 1097252, member: 9”]You’re overthinking things and putting human characteristics on a horse, pal.

Jezki is a horse and just runs along as fast he can.[/QUOTE]
Jessica will have jezki right for the CH, sure the fly beat him 2-3 times last year as well on heavy, but couldn’t do it when the ground firmed up