Unfortunately it doesnt look the measures have been able to prevent it getting into nursing homes and this is where the damage will be done. Over half the NH clusters have only been identified in recent days so I think this week could get very bad.
our deaths are tracking along the same curve as Italy as they did at the beginning but our new cases arenât. they are much much lower, we should have seen a steepening in the curve by now on all known measures.
Which A) lends to huge optimism that weâve got this under control
B) Our testing isnât working and weâve no true reflection of where we are.
The nursing home situation is terrible.
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#ibelieveher
I would have been very positive on our testing and measures taken up to recently but I think you can pretty much disregard the new cases metric as we arenât getting anywhere near an accurate reflection on cases. Also our hospital and ICU admissions arenât giving a good indicator as to potential deaths as it seems a large number of deaths are coming from outside of the ICUs.
I still think we reacted reasonably strongly, reasonably early in the cycle.
If the hospitals donât see a flood of admissions this week then I think weâll be in a good position to manage things going forward.
Why are we not updating the recovered figures? Weâve only 25 people recovered going by stats.
Mate, stop exciting yourself with these imaginary comparison graphs. Theyâll drive you demented and are completely pointless
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looking at the numbers it seems to be at around the 200 death mark globally where the uptick in growth happens. We are in and around that now. If we maintain a flat daily death rate then hopefully thatâs a good sign.
Iâd imagine the poor souls in nursing homes wonât affect the ICU numbers greatly. Jesus thatâs an awful sentence to type out
Because it seems like we donât have any follow up procedures in place for people who test positive but donât require hospitalisation? I could be wrong on that.
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Iâm very encouraged by recent figures and pronouncements that we have the current situation where we want it, just waiting on the pharma crowd to sort us long term, and I trust the people who have the big decisions to make as regards our current state of living
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weâll be the only country with no one cured from this bastard thing.
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Seamus on Facebook said it will be ok
I think that Austria time table is a very realistic one for everyone providing we keep on like we are.
May as well not bother sending secondary schools or colleges back at this stage if we are only sending them in for late May anyway. But they can do the leaving, I presume colleges are going on projects etc this year. Primary schools can go back for a month or so I guess, but again thatâs not really important in the overall scheme of things, maybe more for the childcare element than anything.
I think we can move to let businesses reopen at end of the month as long as they donât need a huge amount of public interaction, but still encouraging those who can work from home to continue to do so.
Be no harm to get 6th years and junior certs in for revision sessions â but not regular classes per se. I think weâll be looking at the end of May here ⌠Some services opening for June bank holiday but people still advised to keep distancing up.
There wonât be a normality to go back to if we wait until the June bank holiday.
Theyâll have to ease off before then.
No bars or restaurants and shit like that but everything that doesnât involve gatherings of people will have to go back, while continuing to encourage people who can work from home to do so
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Will they still do 3 cans for a tenner in the dog track in Thurles this summer?
by my reading of it France are about 10 days behind Italy, Germany are roughly the same behind France, and Ireland, Austria, Sweden et al are 10 days behind Germany. Germany are in their uptick now and are still maintaining a relatively flat curve in relation to deaths. But I presume theyâve got a relatively large ICU capacity and stringent testing/contact tracing.
As I said in around 200 deaths is where you start to see the trajectory of the curve. The next few days will tell a lot here.
Yes but youâll have to drink the three of them yourself in your car
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But sure youâve just decided that. Weâve no idea when the first Italian case was. The Germans had a confirmed case before Italy. Different countries are not comparable. Itâs pointless
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Were you not cured?
He was. All the long walks and fresh air while he was self isolating sorted it right out.
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