I would still be in favour of a total lockdown. Kill the fucker once and for all.If by some miracle we managed to rid ourselves within the next 4/6 weeks, the economy could come out of this relatively unscathed.
But sure thereās no getting rid of this. Weāll just keep re-importing it over and over even if we do somehow manage to stop it.
What do we do then? Total lockdown every time thereās a positive?
Way too early to ready anything into the figures. As Iāve said a few times, cases alone is a nothing figure really as its dependent on testing. The real number to be watching nightly is the number in ICU. Itās currently 13 and hasnāt been increasing at the same rate as cases. This is promising but itās this night next week will really show where we are heading.
Surely when everyone goes back to normal we would just get another wave of it? I donāt think things will get back till normal until there is a vaccine.
Maybe the ultimate end here is we contain it as best we can. Reopen everything and then shutdown on a local basis as cases arise over the next few months.
Keep the borders closed for another few months as well and quarantine anyone coming in.
Hopefully then the summer slows it and we are further down the line in terms of treatment at least by the time the autumn comes around.
We are a long way from containing it ourselves yet though
If immunity is clinically proven then people with immunity are going to have to be allowed start things back slowly.
You could then do controlled infections as stupid as that sounds of low risk people to up the numbers with immunity, keep at risk people isolated as long as it takes, unfortunately.
Not necessarily. Loath as I am to deputise the UK approach into anything, but herd immunity will eventually take hold, even in the absence of a vaccine.
However that will not in itself prevent many deaths in the immediate term.
The most likely outcome is enough people will get it over whatever time period to achieve herd immunity. Then it will die out from not having enough new hosts.
Thatās more likely than a vaccine that works imo in the next year, but I could be wrong hopefully.