Neil Ferguson claims today that the high infection rate in the UK means they could have herd immunity by the end of the year. Is that something that could be achieved over here whilst protecting the vulnerable. We did a lot of heavy lifting on this over Christmas.
Its the lag from those numbers is the concern. I think we peaked on Wednesday, the worst of those cases will take 10 days to end up in hospital. The concern isnât so much about beds as ICU capacity. If we havenât been over run by next Friday then we should muddle along.
We are 2 and a half weeks removed from Christmas. Any lag from people who picked up the virus on Christmas eve/Christmas day would surely start to catch up by now.
They do seem to be keeping a better handle of ICU capacity. Weâve almost twice the number of cases in hospital compared to April but we still have a decent buffer of capacity in ICU.
The number of people picking up Covid in hospital is concerning.
Itâs not clear and has never been clear if people are in hospital or indeed in ICU because of Covid or with Covid. Obviously either way impacts on care levels and resources.
Seems a decent amount of headroom for ICU still and private hospital capacity comes online this week as well.