Id say we could see raft more independents in.
I must take a look next week, but possibly 10+.
Yates is a lazy fucker who likes to yap. He hasnt a clue whats going on in constituencies cos heās a lazy fucker with no interest in details. His logic is all based on how it was when he was a politician, which is a generation ago. His election prediction record is appalling.
*
*sorry @Mac
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Sorry for what? Youāre dead right
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As an aside, the Wicklow Wexford constituency is soft out. @Little_Lord_Fauntleroy could probably run in it and get a seat.
I drove through Ferns yesterday and there wasnāt a poster up anywhere near the village which was bizarre. I wonder if itās stuck in the middle of the new boundary line and thus no one really knows where it sits
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Sorry for having to call out your mentor, friend and hopefully not father as a bit of a fraud.
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And 2 ends of a sneery cunt too
I donāt think Ferns has allowed election posters for any recent elections.
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Dont some areas have poster bans?
Nevermind. Think Mountrath is the same, although a few posters to distract from the tow might be no bad thing.
Yates may have something of a point and I certainly wouldnāt rule out Conor Sheehan contending for a seat in Limerick City.
There has always been a core seat there, held over the years by Jan OāSullivan, Jim Kemmy, Mick Lipper, Stevie Coughlan etc. It splintered to Quinlivan at first and then to him and Leddin the last time. Quinlivan will be re-elected but will be nowhere near the approx 12k votes he got in 2020. Leddin could likely be decimated.
Pigtown has always been a quare bailiwick. Willie is as likely to transfer to to Daly & Quinlivan as he is to Dee Ryan. OāDonnell and Byrne will barely muster a quota between them, but there is a seat there for the diminutive (in stature and intellect) Minister of State.
Melanie Cleary could be the joker in the pack as most Limerick people will tell you that their major issue is the shitshow that is UHL. Housing is trotting miles behind this local hot potato.
Sheehan will need to hoover up the old Labour vote and will be transfer friendly. If he polls a higher first preference than Ryan and/or Daly heāll be in the mix in subsequent counts.
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Sheehan, in fairness to him, generally comes across well; donāt know what his profile is across the city. If I had a vote in the city, heād probably be my choice as he has less slimy-like qualities than many of the others.
Daly has his popularity on the ground but I didnāt think he came across well during the mayoral election; donāt think he did himself any favours.
See Maria Byrne seems to be putting a bit of effort in with; God help us if she ends up getting elected. Youād imagine OāDonnell may get in by default but youād really wonder what he does.
Dee Ryan is in to 1/2 to take the last seat
Limerick is a basket case for many reasons. But unlike other cultured cities thereās no clear geographical divide ā¦ thereās no north/South or east/west split on class basis. Itās a complete melting pot with working class surrounding middle-class areas and visa versa.
Thatās what makes us sound bastards in the main.
Apart from those latte drinking Caherdavin cunts
I havenāt run the numbers in total but from listening to some of Yatesyās stuff and with this John McGahon controversy, surely Fianna Fail to win the most seats at 7/4 is good value?
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If you created an aggregate of all the odds in all the constituencies what would it point to?
Thatās the bet of the election for me.
Iāve just run the numbers here and think Fianna Fail could be between 7-10 seats ahead in the rural constiuencies.
Could Fine Gael pull that back in Dublin?
No
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Dublin is the same surely
Dublin certainly has a north and south divide
But i was talking about cultured cities.