Could we leave this thread to Fenners please.
[quote=“fenwaypark, post: 872540, member: 276”]Bet 60
2.00 Huntington
5pts win Champion Court 6-1 BOG
Paddy Power
P&L -37 (19pts IP)[/quote]
Hearing rumours this lad is a NR today
He is entered at Chelt tomorrow only as a precaution.
no problem, im just urging caution , posting on this thread is a bit like whispering down the back of the church at mass
anyway i stuck 100 quid on this one
3pt bet, he must be very confident in it coming in and has backed it well himself, that’s good enough for me and ill take the man at his word
Bet 61
December Gold Cup AP
3pts win Silver Roque 28-1
888sport
[quote=“mickee321, post: 873059, member: 367”]no problem, im just urging caution , posting on this thread is a bit like whispering down the back of the church at mass
anyway i stuck 100 quid on this one
3pt bet, he must be very confident in it coming in and has backed it well himself, that’s good enough for me and ill take the man at his word
Bet 61
December Gold Cup AP
3pts win Silver Roque 28-1
888sport[/quote]
Any chance of you setting up a football betting thread?
[quote=“fenwaypark, post: 852296, member: 276”]Mickee,
This thread is about identifying value. The horses selected are by and large overpriced, and the odds quoted are not a true reflection of the horse’s ability and chance, in my opinion. I would be pretty sure that each of the horses selected so far have returned an SP much shorter than the odds I selected them at.
When selecting horses in a manner like this, you are not going to get a reliable and consistent return of winners. The hope is that over the course of the season there will be enough winners at a decent price to offset the inevitable long list of losing bets.
I have decided to only go win only, but if one wanted to minimize their loses they could back the horses each way.
As mentioned on the Sport of Kings thread, I am going to experiment with win only selections to see if the extra point on the win offsets the gains to be had from the place part of the bet over the course of the season.
I am not punting. I am using this thread as an experiment to ascertain how successful or not this type of betting strategy is over the course of a season. I accept that using one season is a very unreliable sample size to use.
There are many angles and strategies that one can use when betting.[/quote]
I’ll bump this again for you @mickee321.
As you are aware, I have a terminally ill infant son and my partner is a full time carer. Due to our financial situation, discretionary expenditure such as betting have been put on the back burner. I hope that clears things up.
[quote=“fenwaypark, post: 873062, member: 276”]I’ll bump this again for you @mickee321.
As you are aware, I have a terminally ill infant son and my partner is a full time carer. Due to our financial situation, discretionary expenditure such as betting have been put on the back burner. I hope that clears things up.[/quote]
ok, look, this is the internet and i dont know you or anything about your personal situation, i am very sorry to hear that and i cant even for one second imagine how difficult that must be
anyway,
im only taking the thread at face value for what it is like most things on here, at the moment its -40pts, hence my concerns, if i was down 40 points gambling id be in a very bad situation ,
jesus if we are going to loose money at least we can have a bit of crack doing it anyway, i get slaughtered regularly when i post up loosers and i take it in good spirit, its only messing, i like this thread as ive won a few pound from it,
yes
[quote=“fenwaypark, post: 872540, member: 276”]Bet 60
2.00 Huntington
5pts win Champion Court 6-1 BOG
Paddy Power
P&L -37 (19pts IP)[/quote]
Unlucky mate, he ran a cracker.
That’s the only way he can run to his best. He seemed to hang badly on the run in.
[quote=“fenwaypark, post: 871046, member: 276”]Bet 57
December Gold Cup AP
3pts win Home Farm 16-1
VC
P&L -28pts (23.5pts IP)[/quote]
NR Loser
[quote=“fenwaypark, post: 871649, member: 276”]Bet 59
December Gold Cup AP
2pts win Home Farm 12-1
Totesport
P&L -32pts (14pts IP)[/quote]
NR Loser
[quote=“fenwaypark, post: 872540, member: 276”]Bet 60
2.00 Huntington
5pts win Champion Court 6-1 BOG
Paddy Power
P&L -37 (19pts IP)[/quote]
Loser
P&L -40 pts (12pts IP)
you were very unlucky with CC, saddle slipped…
Bet 62
2.10 Cheltenham
5 pts win Prince Of Pirates 7-1 BOG
William Hill
P&L -45pts (17pts IP)
Have not seen race yet, but sounds that way. Shame for connections as he is a smashing horse and deserves a decent pot. Just below top notch.
Captain Chris looks horse to take from the race. Comes out by far the best horse at weights. That run will have him spot on for King George. He will get his ground for the first time in the race and the Hobbs team have never been in better shape. A serious player and looks overpriced.
Bet 63
3.45 Cheltenham
5pts win Garde La Victoire 2-1 BOG
Stan James
P&L -50 pts (22pts IP)
[quote=“fenwaypark, post: 873139, member: 276”]Have not seen race yet, but sounds that way. Shame for connections as he is a smashing horse and deserves a decent pot. Just below top notch.
Captain Chris looks horse to take from the race. Comes out by far the best horse at weights. That run will have him spot on for King George. He will get his ground for the first time in the race and the Hobbs team have never been in better shape. A serious player and looks overpriced.[/quote]
Yes, and going the right way round is crucial to him…I think you know I am a P Hobbs fan…my fancy to v your Mount benbulben :-0
Bet 64
King George AP
5pts win Captain Chris 20-1
William Hill
P&L -55pts (27pts IP)