GAA Betting 2013

get on it, Gardiner has just overtaken Sean Og to win Cunt of the year award…

[quote=“TheUlteriorMotive, post: 825655, member: 2272”]If Cork win then does the captain normally get an All Star
Pa Cronin is 6/4 and Cork are odds on favourites so might be value there[/quote]

Michael Fennelly didn’t win an All Star the year he captained Kilkenny.

Michael Darragh McAuley at 10/1 for Footballer of the Year is an outstanding bet. He, more than anybody else, is Dublin’s key player and the one man whose role in the team can’t be replicated by anybody else.

I think its safe to say no one has ever played the game quite like him.

You have to account for the All Star selectors being a panel of numptys

fuck fuck fuck. McAuley into 1\3 now and I didn’t get the money at 11\10

Once Aidan O Shea makes shit of him in the final you wont have to worry about it.

Did any you have money on Cork or Clare in May to win the AI? If so, what were the odds?

Powers cut MDM into 7s for FOTY yesterday. I’ve backed him with Boyles at 8s.

how did the craft beer festival go mate?

Thanks for asking mate. I’m heading along to it this evening and will report back.

There looks to be real value in the Limerick football championship odds for an accumulator this weekend, perhaps our Ballysteen correspondents would give their opinion?

Cork were 16’s and Clare 22’s after the league I believe.

The real value was earlier in the week when Monaleen were put at 4/6 against Teddy McCarthy’s black and white army, since been cut to 8/15.

Fr Caseys are certs to beat Mountcollins but very skimpy at 3/10.
I think Pats should just about shade it against Pallasgreen but Pallas are a big price at 15/8.

Looking at the over/under market there on pp. 43.5 is the threshold. Cork and Clare have scored an average of 21.77 pts per game, excluding Clare V Laois. So the threshold is well picked. Ignoring early championship games matches involving Clare and Cork in the All Ireland series average out at 42.75 per game. Average points total in the last 10 finals including the replay is 42.18, skewed depending on how you look at it by some ridiculously high totals racked up by Kilkenny in their pomp, or exceptionally low totals in games involving Cork.

Two new teams in a final is a factor as well. The games tend to be more nervy and low scoring. Going back 20 years win or lose new teams average out at 18.2 points.

With the weather cooling down and a soft day forecast I predict a game at the lower end of the scoring scale. I think the 43.5 with Pp is too tight though and as things stand the best value I see is the 45.5 with Seaniemac.com which looks like a fair bet.

@Fagan ODowd, is it minor hurling or football that the overs haven’t been landed in 20-30 years? I think you highlighted it last year.

Minor hurling. Pp haven’t put up the number yet. Last year the number they put up had been beaten once in the previous 25 years I think.

No surprise teams don’t beat the overs when you have minor teams not being granted perfectly legitimate points.

I don’t get you? When did this happen in an AI final in the last 25 years?

@Fagan ODowd - the boys at Seaniemac have priced it at 36.5 - your opinion please. Any idea what it was last year?