General election 2016 results HUB

105

I think he will but it’s likely to be a direct battle with FG2 Farrell, so in that case he wouldn’t be able to rely on Farrell’s transfers.

If Farrell was to fall behind another candidate, that would make certain of the seat for Ryan.

106

Easy to act the maggot as an Independent on the backbenches when a government has a 60 seat majority. Lets see by the time the next election comes around, how much appetite there is for Independents.

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107

FF/FG government with Enda gone

Labour will hardly go into government now as would be end of them

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108

It’s rather bizarre that he stuck around so long though. Arguably FG would have gotten an overall majority if he hadn’t been the leader in 2011. Bruton et al lost their bottle in 2010. Once Phil Hogan and Shatter’s influence started to decline though you’d have thought he’d have lost his bedrock and been told to move on.

The Savita case has had an enormous impact though as well in fairness.

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109

Knives out for Kenny already on Bluestalk 106.

Burton bullied him into a February election rather than going in November.

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110

Labour are on 9.8% in Dublin. A point that needs to be made in Dublin though is that Fianna Fail and Sinn Fein are running largely one man bands so on 15% both will be way ahead of Labour in the capital.

Ryan, Howlin and Penrose should be safe. Probably Nash, Stagg and Kelly as well. Struggling to see too many more seats for Labour after that.

111

Looks like the anti-government sentiment resulted in voters drifting back to FF. The innate conservatism of Irish people! FF just had to sit there and wait for them.

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112

FF do have this new kid on the block leader Micheal Martin as well untainted by the sins of his forefathers.

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113

I initially thought it would be as low as 5 but don’t think so now.

114

Dublin Bay South is a tremendously interesting looking constituency. I don’t think you can extrapolate much from the figures, other than that Murphy (FG) and Andrews (SF) are probably safe.

Could be a five way battle for the last two seats between O’Callaghan (FF), Ryan (Green), Creighton (Renua), Humphreys (LAB) and O’Connell (FG).

On a 15% FF figure in Dublin O’Callaghan looks favourite for one of those seats.

115

A long day and yes long year \head here lads

116

Be careful what you wish for. Most pundits didn’t give Jim a prayer of getting elected but was considered by many as favourite to be Attorney General in a FG/FF coalition.

117

The Green Party will be as happy as anybody with those figures. 3.5% is somewhat of a rebound from 2011.

Don’t really see them getting more than two seats but Eamon Ryan and Catherine Martin should both be in with a fighting chance. I think Joe O’Brien in Dublin Fingal will also poll well and establish a base for the future without taking a seat.

118

Fine Fail.

Fuck you, Ireland. Fuck you.

4 Likes
119

Inp was the only option

120

Looks incredibly like Kenneth O’Brien from the suitcase in the canal

121

You didn’t really think shen fein would make a impreason

122

Based on the figures, I’d expect something like this:

FG 48
FF 42
SF 24
LAB 10
AAA 5
SOC DEM 3
GREEN 1
RENUA 1
INDEPENDENTS 23

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123

Any recommended follows on Twitter for election news/analysis?

124

Labor 10