Did he give his reasoning behind going for that result? I find it hard to see any result besides 3FG 1FF.
+1 You have to understand the blanket brainwashing be done by and onto those against this Govt. They cling at every measly opinion poll. We shall see on Friday.
He doesnât need to remember the 220 tax changes but does need to know the headline changes and what the changes are going to do in terms of putting money in pockets or services. Its up to Pearce to got into the details.
He said he orginally had it that way but he believes the comments on Saturday will have an impact, and then something about transfers after that.
He doesnât offer any elaboration there besides theyâll get the 4th seat âon transfersâ, I suspect heâs covering a lack of actual constituency knowledge. Chambers and Mulherin will be close on first preferences, but Kenny and Ring will have decent surpluses which will go primarily to Mulherin. Calleary wonât be too far past a quota, and even if he is, his surplus wonât break too heavily in favour of Chambers, given Mulherin will do better than you would imagine due to the Ballina vote being a factor. Donât see the SF candidate being a factor, sheâll get shag all transfers.
Suggesting Ring will top Kenny is just a wild guess, based on nothing, and Kenny is polling higher. Yates has given off the distinct impression he is being contrarian for the sake of it with these predictions.
He gave much more detail on the radio
Iâll do one more revised and definitive prediction over the next couple of days.
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Cork South Central is a constituency where Iâve consistently called there to be an SF seat against bookiesâ odds and itâs looking good according to this poll.
VOL. @ChocolateMice doing the necessary down there in âgetting the vote outâ no doubt.
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Itâs no coincidence that SF have mobilized in the weeks I arrived down⌠Thereâs a collection of FF and FG posters ripped down and dumped in my estate⌠I donât know how it happened but it has certainly aided the cause.
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The people are willing, they just need to be lead. Or driven. Any means necessary.
Enda berating his own constituents was a gamechanger and if Mulherin is poor tonight in the debate then he thinks that depending on the order of eliminations Chambers could get in. Thinks Ring is a great bet to top the poll.
Fucking Passage and Mahon* ruining everything
*Mahon may or may not be in Cork South Central
Iâd be very surprised if we didnât crack 30, pal.
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Iâve been hearing soundings from Mayo people for months that Ring was a good bet to top the poll there.
Heâs not such a good bet now however at only 8/15.
Halligan at 15/8 in Waterford to top the poll looks tempting.
YYatesy said he was 5/4.
The blueshirts are really starting to shit themselves lately