I didnât realise Creighton was involved in this. A Jokeshop.
Iâd tend to agree with that - a lot of their policies are sensible and the personalities are credible. My main issue is their inability to settle on a leader - hardly a ringing endorsement of their ability to make tough decisions.
Creighton has never impressed me in any way, ever, and certainly never in any type of a debate setting.
Newstalk had their election Battle Bus in Enniscorthy today to have debate with the Wexford hopefuls but there was no Mick Wallace.
She sets out her stall very clearly, that is to be admired amid all the bluster. Itâs unfortunate that her policies are poison. She always replies to a question. Itâs just that her answers are gash.
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Not too far off there.
I thought she was really poor last night.
I donât agree with pretty much anything she says, so that doesnât help, but she didnât have any conviction or passion or resolve in anything she was saying. I thought she was a bit too timid and defensive, she didnât sound convincing. I have no doubt she does have her strong views because Iâve heard her before but the overwhelming impression I got from her last night was of somebody who didnât want to be there (and already had her coat on to leave).
PP cut FF/FG as the most likely next government to 6/5 from 11/8
Which one of the main political parties doesnât accept partition?
Did Creighton shut the door on ever returning to the FG fold after her closing remark that âFianna Fail, Fine Gael, theyâre all the sameâ?
Her biggest shortcoming, like a lot of career women, is her total lack of warmth. She is an austere woman with austere policies. Without a strong party behind her sheâs not very likely to ever get a movement off the ground.
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As things stand I canât see the next government going full term.
Creighton is on record as saying that if she was in the US sheâd be a Republican and her policies are straight out of the batshit crazy wing of that party, as opposed to the merely crazy âmoderateâ wing of it. Sheâs an Irish Ayn Rand-type character.
There simply isnât a market for that type of political party in this country and thatâs to be welcomed.
The Examiner have taken on the story about Michael Noonan which was broken by @Little_Lord_Fauntleroy on TFK:
http://www.irishexaminer.com/ireland/michael-noonan-didnt-want-to-know-about-sex-abuse-claims-382178.html
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cat got your tongue Tim Riggins
Fine Gael âThe Sex Abusers Partyâ
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Revising my previous predictions for the following seats:
CLARE: Ann Norton (IND) to take the final seat instead of Michael McDonagh (FF) and Michael McNamara (LAB).
Very conservative constituency but I find it hard to see a FG/FF clean sweep. Wouldnât rule out 2 FF and 1 FG but I think either way thereâs enough for 1 IND here. Vote splitting amongst the INDs could scupper them however.
2 FG, 1 FF, 1 IND.
DUBLIN BAY SOUTH:
Kate OâConnell (FG) and Chris Andrews (SF) to beat Kevin Humphries (LAB) and Lucinda Creighton (RENUA).
Looks matter. OâConnell is the new, much better looking, much less threatening 2007 Creighton. FG vote may not switch to Creighton like she expects and particularly given the greater focus on her insane policies. Donât think thereâs three ârightâ seats. Ryan to take much of Humphriesâ vote and nobble him. Andrews is a marginal call for the second âleftâ seat and Iâm far from certain on this one.
2 FG, 1 GREEN, 1 SF
DUBLIN SOUTH CENTRAL:
Brid Smith (AAA/PBP) to beat Eric Byrne (LAB).
Close run thing but Smith is doing very well by all accounts.
1 SF, 1 FG, 1 IND, 1 AAA/PBP
DUBLIN WEST:
Jack Chambers (FF) to beat Joan Burton (LAB).
This looks done and dusted.
1 FG. 1 SF, 1 FF, 1 AAA/PBP
GALWAY WEST:
Catherine Connolly (IND) to beat John OâMahony (FG)
This is a 3 right, 2 left constituency. National swing against FG will probably do for OâMahony in a constituency where he hasnât competed before. Labour have a better chance here than I previously stated (Michael D. Higgins legacy vote etc) but will also be edged out.
1 FF, 1 FG, 2 IND (Grealish, Connolly), 1 SF
LONGFORD-WESTMEATH:
Kevin âBoxerâ Moran (IND) to beat Paul Hogan (SF).
Think it may be one election too soon for SF here.
1 FG, 1 FF, 1 LAB, 1 IND
MEATH EAST:
Darren OâRourke (SF) to beat Regina Doherty (FG).
There should be enough of a national swing against FG and to SF to enable SF to take this seat. Helen McEntee will be elected on the strength of her McEntee name and thus Doherty is the vulnerable FG candidate.
1 FG, 1 FF, 1 SF
TIPPERARY:
Alan Kelly (LAB) to beat Seamus Healy (IND) .
The media campaign against Kelly could play into his hands despite Labourâs national collapse. Mattie McGrath is wily fox and I think heâll hold. Healy could be the one to lose out given his lesser profile in this new, county-wide constituency.
2 IND, 1 FG, 1 FF, 1 LAB
WICKLOW
Pat Casey (FF) to beat Billy Timmins (RENUA).
I donât think thereâs room for both 2 Fine Gaelers and Renua here.
2 FG, 1 SF, 1 SOC DEM, 1 FF
OVERALL:
FG 54 (-1 compared to 2/2/16)
FF 38 (+1)
SF 31 (+1)
LAB 8 (-2)
SOC DEM 3 (no change)
RENUA 0 (-2)
GREEN 1 (no change)
OTHERS (including AAA/PBP) 23 (+3)
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@glasagusban probably wonât believe that story until OâHalloran posts up a diagram of how Noonan tried to do a legger.
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How are you calling Dublin Bay North?
Kevin âBoxerâ Moran was a hero in Athlone during the floods. My favourite show Ireland AM used to interview him every morning after heâd been up all night keeping water at bay. Heâd explain all the work they did and still need to do and then launch a scathing attack on the government to finish off. I became very fond of him - hon Boxer Moran.
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I donât know this Norton one at all? The GP candidate Harty was supposed to be doing well, where is the support for her coming from Sid? There was a debate on local radio this morning and she wasnât included either.