General Election 2020 Hub

[gaillimhmick]

SF transfers will be huge. Anyone have any data on where they transfer traditionally?

[the_man_himself]

@Copper_pipe

Any chance Sinn Fein will enter a few more candidates in Tipperary now that there will be a fresh election in that constituency?

No. They won’t get the one they have elected. They could perhaps have got a bigger name elected if they were in instead of Browne from the start but not now

[gaillimhmick]

This is transfers from 2016. Based on this FF are getting twice as many transfers from SF as FG. This should give FF a nice seat bonus. Maybe Leo should start to court MLMD tonight.

[fistoffury]

@Copper_pipe

Any chance Sinn Fein will enter a few more candidates in Tipperary now that there will be a fresh election in that constituency?

Are you suggesting SF have created this opportunity for themselves?

[the_man_himself]

See this from the Times article on the poll yesterday also

@TheUlteriorMotive

When the aggregate of the numbers is looked at, Fianna Fáil emerges on top, with 46 per cent of voters expressing a preference for an option which includes that party. Fine Gael followed with 35 per cent of voters including that party, while coalitions including Sinn Féin attract the support of 22 per cent of voters. Among Sinn Féin voters, a coalition with Fianna Fáil is the most popular outcome, with 43 per cent of the party’s voters favouring a coalition with that party.

[Julio_Geordio]

I think we are at peak Sinn Fein popularity. We’ll see how Mary Lou holds up tonight but I’d think 31 seats is very optimistic they are only running 42 in total I think?
They’ve no chance in some constituencies. National polls are good and a wave of support will push a few of their marginal seats over the line, but politics is local.

I think they’ve a decent chance in Kerry now for example, where as I would have had him down as a very unlikely chance. But they’ve no chance in Limerick county for example, no matter how high the polls go nationally.

[Dziekanowski]

@the_man_himself

No. They won’t get the one they have elected. They could perhaps have got a bigger name elected if they were in instead of Browne from the start but not now

If SF hit even 19% nationally, I don’t know why you assume they wouldn’t get someone elected in Tipperary. The dynamics of that election will be different and McDonald could be riding a wave of popularity. If so she and Gerry Adams will be travelling the length and breadth of Tipperary for a week. SF have a base of 5,700 votes last time to work off. I think the election there being put back is bad news for Alan Kelly.

[iron_mike]

@Fulvio_From_Aughnacloy

You better hope that ’s pappa is not Michael Noonan as they used to share his pappa’s secretaries.

@Fulvio_From_Aughnacloy

@caulifloweredneanderthal

@Juhniallio

The tallies are savage Craic. Great buzz about them.

Went to my first count when I was ten. My mother was then secretary to a government minister. Some craic at it. Must have had about five glasses of coke and three bags of Tayto . I was buzzing for the day. Ended up on telly besides Michael Noonan (cc @Julio_Geordio) when he got elected (4th in I think)

You better hope that @iron_mike’s pappa is not Michael Noonan as they used to share his pappa’s secretaries.

Old news now, you love sick teenager

[tazdedub]

It’s not peak SF till Maria Cahill is rolled out. When that happens then we know we are at peak SF.

[Fulvio_From_Aughnacloy]

Meoooowwww.

[Copper_pipe]

I am not.

[Dziekanowski]

@TheUlteriorMotive

If you are riding a wave of populism like other countries such as UK and US should you expect media not to start to take sides as has happened in those countries. Only one political party on the island has a newspaper.

I think the Indo has gone back to FF since Dinny sold out? FG at least still has its own radio station.

[Midshipman_Asha]

Pat Kenny asked the Tipperary returning officer would it be possible to parachute high profile candidates into the constituency should they lose seats elsewhere.

[caulifloweredneanderthal]

@Juhniallio

trying to bump his mam up in our estimation. Not long after telling us his dad was a creamer.

She was his constituency secretary if I remember correctly.

There was only one minister in that constituency back then and it sure wasn’t Noonan

Twas my mother’s father that was the creamery manager by the way.

[myboyblue]

@Midshipman_Asha

Pat Kenny asked the Tipperary returning officer would it be possible to parachute high profile candidates into the constituency should they lose seats elsewhere.

Thats not a bad question tbf.

[myboyblue]

@caulifloweredneanderthal

@Juhniallio

trying to bump his mam up in our estimation. Not long after telling us his dad was a creamer.

Twas my mother’s father that was the creamery manager by the way.

Fucking big shot

[Dziekanowski]

@Midshipman_Asha

Pat Kenny asked the Tipperary returning officer would it be possible to parachute high profile candidates into the constituency should they lose seats elsewhere.

And what did they say?

Given that nominations have to be reopened I can’t imagine there would be anything stopping SF parachuting in Gerry Adams or Lynn Boylan or Liadh Ni Riada if they wanted to. Don’t think they’ll do that though. There will be a lot more attention on Tipp now given it will be a stand alone election. SF will push everything into it especially if they do have a very good election elsewhere. Can’t imagine other party leaders being too popular by then, Varadkar probably won’t even be FG leader by then.

[myboyblue]

Shane Paul O'Doherty (shaneodoherty)

This cunt.

[iron_mike]

@Fulvio_From_Aughnacloy

Meoooowwww.

Sap has to rebrand after having his heart broken. Cowardly Italian as usual

[Midshipman_Asha]

He said he didn’t know of any reason why not. He expects to get a new polling date today from the minister and reopen nominations tomorrow with a mooted closing date of February 11th.
Plenty of time for parachutes