Ireland politics (Part 1)

Thatā€™s if he did have sense or the balls to do it. This is why the smaller party always gets hammered in elections, its because they go into the government with the mantra we are going to keep the big guys in check and all that happens is they end up being the fall guys and end up having to face the media. By right Labour should have walked out on this government a long time ago, they had plenty of opportunities to do it and still keep their heads held high but in the end they sold out and they will be hammered for it.

We never will

The Social Democrats are just a collection of self promoting individuals whoā€™d drop any suggestion of party discipline if there was a hint of getting a sound bite on the news.

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aY4ure_GSHw

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The one in Limerick city did public admin in UL as such I cannot consider her for my vote.

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Willie was in the red hen on Saturday night and the birds were hanging off him. A man beloved by the people.

Yes Iā€™d agree with this. Move your vote to the County and go for the more reliable HPSS graduate instead.

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:disappointed_relieved:

Iā€™m reconsidering my support for the social democrats entirely.

No ordinary panto!

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Hard to walk away from the State cars though.

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I did out a constituency by constituency analysis the other night and it tallied as follows.

FG 53
FF 36
SF 32
LAB 9
SD 3
GREEN 1
RENUA 2
OTHERS 22

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Do you have a breakdown by constituency Sid?

Yes.

Could you share it please? Or if you like set up a ā€˜Sidney GE2016 Betting Threadā€™.

A FF -FG coalition then :scream:

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Would your analysis suggest a FF/FG government so?

Carlow-Kilkenny (5)
2 FG, 2 FF, 1 SF

Cavan-Monaghan (4)
2 FG, 1 FF, 1 SF

Clare (4)
2 FG, 2 FF

Cork East (4)
FG 1, FF 1, LAB 1, SF 1

Cork North Central (4)
1 SF, 1 FG, 1 FF, 1 IND

Cork North West (3)
FG 2, FF 1

Cork SOUTH CENTRAL (4)
2 FF, 1 FG, 1 SF

Cork SOUTH WEST (3)
2 FG, 1 FF

DONEGAL (5)
3 SF, 1 FG, 1 FF

DUBLIN BAY NORTH (5)
2 IND, 1 FG, 1 SF, 1 FF

DUBLIN BAY SOUTH (4)
1 FG, 1 GREEN, 1 SF, 1 RENUA

DUBLIN CENTRAL (3)
1 FG, 1 IND, 1 SF

DUBLIN FINGAL (5)
1 FG, 1 FF, 1 SF, 1 IND, 1 LAB

DUBLIN MID WEST (4)
1 FG, 1 SF, 1 AAA, 1 FF

DUBLIN NORTH WEST (3)
1 SF, 1 Soc Dem , 1 LAB

DUBLIN RATHDOWN (3)
1 IND, 1 LAB, 1 FG

DUBLIN SOUTH CENTRAL (4)
1 FG, 1 SF, 2 IND

DUBLIN SOUTH WEST (5)
1 FG, 2 SF, 1 IND, 1 FF

DUBLIN WEST (4)
1 FG, 1 SF, 1 AAA, 1 LAB

DUN LAOIGHAIRE (4)
2 FG, 1 FF, 1 AAA

GALWAY EAST (3)
2 FG, 1 FF

GALWAY WEST (5)
1 FF, 2 FG, 1 IND, 1 SF

KERRY (5)
1 SF, 1 FF, 1FG, 2 IND

KILDARE NORTH (4)
1 FF, 1 FG, 1 LAB , 1 SD

KILDARE SOUTH (3)
1 FG, 1 FF, 1 LAB

LAOIS (3)
1 FF, 1 FG, 1 SF

LIMERICK CITY (4)
2 FG, 1 FF, 1 SF

LIMERICK COUNTY (3)
1 FF , 2 FG

LONGFORD-WESTMEATH (4)
2 FG, 1 FF, 1 LAB

LOUTH (5)
2 SF, 2 FG, 1 FF

MAYO (4)
2 FG, 1 FF, 1 SF

MEATH EAST (3)
1 FG, 1 SF, 1 FF

MEATH WEST (3)
1 FG, 1 FF, 1 SF

OFFALY (3)
1 FF, 1 FG, 1 SF

ROSCOMMON (3)
2 IND, 1 FG

TIPPERARY (5)
1 FF, 1 FG, 3 IND

SLIGO NORTH LEITRIM (4)
2 FG, 1 SF, 1 FF

WATERFORD (4)
1 FG, 1 FF, 1 SF, 1 IND

WEXFORD (5)
1 FG, 1 FF, 1 SF, 1 LAB, 1 IND

WICKLOW (5)
1 FG, 1 FF, 1 SF, 1 SOC DEM, 1 RENUA

Canā€™t see SF getting three in up here in Donegal - the Independents running will take a lot from them.

Also would be surprised to see them get one elected in Wexford with FF bouncing back a little and def can see FG losing one seat there.

Cant see the 2 FG for Kilkenny either. Hogan did a lot of damage there while he was in office.

Doherty and MacLochlainn both have huge personal votes, probably a quota each, and could well get a third candidate over the line if they manage transfers well. I expect it to be between the third SF candidate and Thomas Pringle for the last seat.

In Wexford Mick Wallace and Brendan Howlin should still both be elected but will have reduced votes, a good portion of which Iā€™d expect to go to Sinn Fein.