If you want to talk narratives, the main one we’ve been bombarded with for the past number of weeks has been one of hysteria around deaths. The facts don’t support it.
The Imperial College model, which Ferguson himself claimed provides “concrete estimates” (whatever they are supposed to be) of the scale of the threat countries now face, predicted a massive spike in deaths. They have not materialised, and we are perfectly entitled to be sceptical about measures apparently designed to protect us from a low probability event (huge spikes in deaths) when the measures result in a high probability event (economic collapse) that will prove to be far more damaging for humanity in the long run.
@carryharry and me go way back. We wouldn’t see eye to eye on a lot of things, but he’s the sort of lad you’d have an enjoyable discussion with over a few pints.
Even allow for churches to be left open and maybe extend the radius to 5k. Even these slight tweaks will do the nation no end of good. Obviously on the proviso the curve stays flattened of course. We are going to have to adjust how we live no matter what. Hopefully it’s true and I presume this means they are confident the curve is flattening.
I don’t know what’s going g on here. Our deaths and the number of infected are climbing day after day. Granted we’re not as bad as across the water but I’m pretty sure anyone with reasonable intelligence sees all of central Europe in dire straits. Italy Spain and France account for over half the global deaths and the u.s alone accounts for almost 20% of global infections. It is widely acknowledged that we are only at the beginning of the Apex. (Some say we aren’t even there yet) . Lifting or even part lifting restrictions now is akin to lads refusing to evacuate their homes after a tornado warning and then blaming the government when their homes are wrecked.
We are on the verge of holocaust type figures here and all we have to do is stay indoors in order to contain the thing. Of course there is going g to be some knock on effects from the lockdown but until there is a vaccine our only shot of containing this thing is stopping the spread. I’d rather spend six weeks without seeing my parents then having b to bury them in a deserted cemetery.
I’ll continue you locking down until end of the month and that’ll be nearly 7 weeks. But I’ll be supping pints in the pub on the May bank holiday if I have to break into one to do so.
A very noble post Mike.
My biggest concern about this whole thing is people like yourself who need medical treatment but don’t get it. Has your operation been postponed indefinitely or what is the story?
