The Gfs has as upgraded from today’s runs for colder weather this weekend as i expected to do earlier. That’s now impressive when you have the ECMWF, ICON and GFS all showing this colder spell.
Some good news first and that is that the main snow risk does not start till Sunday but Saturday is going to be cold with the possibility of some wintry showers across east Ulster and Leinster.
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The Gfs has this lasting at least up to Wednesday which would mean the increasing chance of heavy snow showers to parts of Ireland especially along the eastern and south eastern half of the country, A cold wind-chill can also be expected as there also is going to be a strong easterly wind.
Cold night time temperatures again across the whole country with frost and ice. From Saturday night into the middle of next week where talking about temperatures as low as -4C to -7C at across Ireland and the UK over dark hours.
So for St Patricks day it does look ok at this stage from towns and cities holding parades around the country. I will keep you updated on this over the coming days and will continue to update over the day. I wouldn’t rule out disruptive snowfall yet on saint Patrick day.
Note that this update is based on the GFS run tonight.
That sort of covering all bases forecast is not something you would see @TreatyStones engage in who understands the value of certainty in an increasingly uncertain world.
I won’t be issuing updates on this until we get a greater level of clarity in the models later in the week. You’ll always have people a bit on edge after a major weather event and nervous it could happen again. At the moment the advice would be to stay calm and not to worry.
I’m my own man, as you can see above @flattythehurdler is a Boards man and he was scrambling to get his snow plough after reading Boards, whereas I was appealing for calm.