That looks very optimistic. Five and a half months maybe. And possibly much longer, not necessarily all in one go.
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We will have a better idea. But end of this month still well off the peak of it.
It looks like âDr. Timâ is not wrong.
At best.
Misery loves company though. All of Europe likely similarly decimated. Better chance of a proper response
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When will we back up and running ? May bank holiday?
Iâve seen one projection that has the peak 10-12 weeks off. Health Service will be overwhelmed in 3-4 weeks in that scenario.
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Seems more realistic alright.
When its slowing down is going to be even more critical than now that we donât sleep walk into a second wave
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Social protection simply wonât be able to cope with the deluge of those looking to sign on. A lot here scoffed yesterday at the Mc Williams plan but it could become reality. The global
Economy is going to come to a shuddering stop at the rate things are happening.
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Weâll know more by then and thatâs all we can say. Itâs like the old quote about what was the historical significance of the French Revolution. âItâs too early to sayâ. This could come in waves or mutate. Containment does not kill the threat of the virus, it just suppresses it for a bit. My bet is weâre looking at an 18 month period of major disruption.
What we want at the end of all this is for people to say the response was an overreaction. If they do, itâll have been a success.
The whole world is going to be affected. After 2008 people used a simplistic narrative of âpress the reset buttonâ. You canât really do that. But this genuinely could be a whole remaking of the world economic system, certainly on a World War II scale.
There could be a chance here to dispose of the short termist thinking that has bedevilled the world for decades and start to actually confront the great global challenges.
We scoffed at McWilliams plan because because he suggested the Irish Central Bank should print the money.
They literally canât. Even he knows that, anyone with even a basic understanding of how the currency union works would know that.
The ECB could possibly do something like that, but it would need to be Eurozone wide, the logistics of doing it mean it would be very difficult in reality I feel. They could just give every country some free money though. The market would hate it, but fuck the market
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Just something I read today that might help people with isolation and stave off cabin fever. Have alarms on your phone for every hour or two hours and change activities to get a rhythm and structure to your day.
2 hours of tv, change two hours of play, change, 1 hour food prep and cleanup etc. (Just examples)
Apparently monks who isolate all their lives, live this way and it helps them structure their days
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The delay tactics been taken by the government are prudent and completely necessary.
I dont think theyâre going to be able to stop the virus though. I can only see that happening though a vaccine or through this herd immunityâŚie the majority of the population getting it.
Iâm no expert, but if its like the flu, surely its going to keep coming back in waves.
Italia, douze morts
Other novel viruses havenât. We can only hope it doesnât
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Havenât had a second wave?
You will have thousands of bar staff looking to sign on tomorrow morning. Along a pile of other hospitality industry staff. The offices wont be able to cope.