Limerick to beat Clare in WCC tonight, 1/1. 3 points. VC.
This is a price sensitive bet. Powers have moved Limerick today from 10/11 -> 5/6 -> 4/6 -> 4/7 -> 8/15. VC seem to have missed the boat and have Limerick still available at Even money. You could make a profit before the game even starts (95.5% book) by backing Clare and the Draw with PP and backing Limerick with VC, but I don’t like that sort of thing.
fair enough, but the bar is set high.
you may have heard of another post called the dunph, he was ridiculed by all and sundry despite a profit of 70/80 points
youv had a few big priced winners but some of your bets are mind boggling stupid
That’s your opinion, as I said the one tonight was a price sensitive one and I’d back it again in the morning, You were getting 1/1 about a general 4/7 chance. Can you highlight another bet you found to be mind boggling stupid? It’s good to get feedback from such an esteemed poster as yourself.
you would back it again in the morning knowing that a few days ago both managers were willing to toss a coin to decide the fixture rather than playt it again?
Am I the only one who gives Ireland a chance in Paris?
Ireland to score Over 1.5 tries, 2.5 points. 6/5 Bet 365.
The French side, although full of flare are vulnerable when it comes to defence. I think our back line can cause them trouble. Up front it looks bleak but I think Earls will have a big game and it’s imperative that Sexton has a good game. We can let loose in this game having lost to Wales, there is no pressure, 90% of people expect us to lose and we will play well without the weight of expectation.
Bet 38
Ireland (+10) 3 points, 5/6 SJ.
I can’t see us being hammered, it’s a standout line and a generous one in my eyes.
Bet 39.
Ireland to win the race to 10 points. 2 points. 9/5 Bet 365.
If we have any ambition of winning this we’ll have to get off to a flyer, I think we can. France are slow starters, if Sexton can get some teritory early we could upset them. Their main weakness is the lineout, they’re very vulnerable there and their discipline is also very questionable. I think we’ll start well and be under immense pressure for the final half hour. Those of you confident of a French win really should have a look at the Ireland-France HT/FT result.
Bet 40.
Johnny Sexton over 8.5 points. 2 points. 8/11 Ladbrokes. **
I’m hoping this one will be up at half-time! The one thing that often hurts the French is their indiscipline. They gave away 7 penalties (4 kickable) against Italy and I think they’ll give away a similar amount tonight.
**Note to those with Betfair accounts, the line there is 7.5, it’s not that liquid in the market, a few quid there at 10/11 at the moment. You may not be matched but it’s certainly worth putting up an order for 1.9ish.
I think we are in with a good chance ttk and I too think we will get better of them in early stages
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France won’t offer same threat at breakdown that Wales did for first half last week and I think our backrow will deliver as game will suit them
We are strong in the outside backs but I’d worry as to how we will get ball out there. D’arcy and Earls are both poor passers and Earls struggles to link up with players when he is at 13. We will benefit from his running ability though.
If Sexton kicks the points we will win imo
I think that’s key, the French will get stroppy if we get in their faces early, similar to Harlequins victory against Toulouse in the Heineken Cup this season. I also think that the first few lineouts are crucial, if we can dominate there it will be a huge help. I just hope our scrum doesn’t get demolished.
I like the chances of this one in the juvenile hurdle, a lot to like about his win at Punchestown win where things didn’t go all his way and he still won comfortably, question marks over the favourite for me as it’s questionable as to how good he is. Shadow Catcher will go on the ground and Leopardstown is a track that should suit him. The english horse Countrywide Flame will struggle imo and Hisaabaat could be a danger (think he may well overturn form with the fav). Hopefully they’ll all be playing for 2nd behind Shadow Catcher
An unlucky 2nd, had he jumped the last 2 properly he would have won, no doubt. 2nd at 11/2. Aftertiming alert as I backed him to be placed on betfair at 2.4
My first maximum bet in this thread. I really do fancy this one and I thought he’d be a lot shorter in the betting, closer to odds on. He was always held in high regard by this yard after hosing up in his bumper, a decent hurdler too, placed in Graded company and far from disgraced in last year’s Albert Batlett. He always looked more of a chaser but he is winless over fences in 4 tries. All of those races were much better than this one. 4th to Grands Crus, 2nd to Solix, forget his last run where he was talied off last in a Grade 2, he’s much better than that. He should win this today en-route to the festival.
