TTK's Profitable Selections 2012

Handicap draw OUCH.

You called it right, sloppy cunts owe you 5 points…

Unreal, they lead by 10 with 15 mins to go. Should have got the other side at that stage, very, very, very expensive.

[quote=“The Tipping King, post: 644832”]

Unreal, the lead by 10 with 15 mins to go. Should have got the other side, very, very, very expensive.[/quote]

Did a 40 double Grafelli 5/2 (won) and Dublin - 4 11/8,could see that coming last 15 minutes loads of booming wides from the half forward line,sick.

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :clap: :clap: :clap: :clap:

The king shot down by a Queen-ey.

Woooooooooooo.

[quote=“Appendage, post: 644834”]

The king shot down by a Queen-ey.

Woooooooooooo.[/quote]

Miserable cunt

+1. Cunts

Bet 123

Hull KR (-6) v Hull FC. 3 points. 10/11 Boyles.

Monday night Super League, starts in 10 mins on SS2. Hull KR are the superior side and I think they’ll win well here. Both sides have been in patchy form but KR will win the bragging rights tonight, it will be a high scoring game.

Bet 124

Over 48.5 points. 3 points. 5/6. PP

Perfect conditions, two sides that possess attacking threat yet have defensive frailties. Expect 50+

Joined you in bet 123 ttk. Pretty slack defence there.

There’ll be plenty of that from both sides Larry, good try for my points bet, bad for the h’cap! Taking the 2 pts instead of going for it was a big mistake.

Not going to plan on either front here Larry, we’re fucked.

A loss of 0.5 pts on the night, surprise result, Rovers were shite in the first half, came roaring back and then bottled it. 50 points though, thankfully.

I actually went for FC minus eight in play so only modest loss thankfully. Thought they looked far hungrier throughout. DIfference in line speed in defence was noticeable. Nice game to back on is league.

I’ll tidy up the P&L here tomorrow.

I was going through some Olympic markets for Ireland, and one that caught my eye big style.

Bet 125

Ireland to win over 1.5 Gold Medals. 4 points. 9/4 PP.

Katie Taylor will win gold, and I’m confident we can land another one. We are basically at home, have a strong eventing and show jumping team, our boxing team is well capable of winning another gold too. It will be a good olympics for us, 6 or more medals in total at 8s also looks kind as we could more than a couple in individual and team eventing. But we all want gold medals and it’s a good bet that gives us a bigger interest in all of our talented athletes (even if one of them is Polish).

Bet 126

Golden Lilac 1.30 Deauville. 3 points. 11/8 numerous.

Group 1 race for fillies and mares over 1m. Andre Fabre’s Golden Lilac is way above her rivals here imo. John Gosden’s Elusive Kate is second fav, I son’t think she will be able to compete with the selection. I think she should be odds on.

5 medals, only one Gold. Those risk averse could have laid out before the Nevin fight at 1.58 but I didn’t overly need the cash so I let it ride. Nevin and Cian O’Connor came extremely close and the bet gave me a cracking interest in all of our fine athletes.

All true.
But this is a betting advice thread, and this was a losing bet.

:smiley: Indeed.

P&L Update for last few bets.

Total Bets: 126
S/R: 35.7%

Points Outlay: 336.5
Return: 379.32
Profit: 42.82

And… We’re back…

Bet 127

The Rabo Direct Pro 12, formally the Magners League, formally the Celtic league, returns tonight. Joy.

Ulster (-3) v Glasgow. 3 points. 10/11 SJ, WH, Lads

I like the look of this one, no surprise really. Ulster rugby is on a serious upward curve and we’ll see just how much it is tonight. They have a mix of experience and youth, the most experience of their backs is 21 year old Craig Gilroy but we know just how good he is, they have handed out 4 debuts to some of their younger talent. Heaney is a highly rated scrum half and is an exciting player, the same can be said for Farrell and Marshall who are incredibly agile and talented players. It’s exciting times for Ulster rugby in fairness. , Payne returns at full back, hey have a solid pack and good strength on the bench. Even without a host of top players like Pienaar, Bowe, Best, Ferris, Trimble and Tuohy they are a force to be reckoned with in Ravenhill. Glasgow are a solid, run of the mill side, they’ll win plenty of games in the league but they won’t trouble the bigger teams, especially away from home. Ulster at 8/13 represents a nice enough bet in itself but the -3 at 10/11 is a bigger tempter.

Bet 128

Zebre (+12) v Dragons 2 points. 10/11 Ladbrokes.

That handicap actually looks a joke to me. Zebre are never 12 points worse than Dragons, even away from home. Dragons are awful, Dan Evans is a nice new addition but they are a team of nearly men. Zebre are completely under-rated here, they have had good financial backing, are a side with plenty of international experience and they should be well up for their first game in this competition. I couldn’t put anyone off backing them at 7/2 for a ‘shock’ win. Pre-season is never something to take too seriously but they did beat Northampton putting 30 points on the board. 12 points is standout and I am hopeful they van stay within that.

I am also looking at Scarlets to beat Leinster tomorrow but nobody apart from PP has priced it. They are 8/11 but I’d say someone will go closer to evens, that should be taken if they do.

Ulster dominated to win by 8, it could have been 20. A nice first night of punting in Ravenhill. I see they are 28/1 for this years Heineken Cup, I’ll give that one more thought but on the face of it, it looks too generous.

The joke was all on me in the Zebre game. They took an absolute hammering from the Dragons, lost by 31. Amazing really, they are in for a horrible year on the evidence of that result, if the Dragons can do that to them, they will suffer hugely.

Unfortunately while waiting for the price to get closer to evens on Scarlets, it has instead gotten shorter, a lot shorter. I’ll have to revise my bet in that game but I’ll be getting with them in some way I think. I’ll update the P&L after the weekends wagers.